[2010-2019 年巴西外因死亡率估算:垃圾原因再分配方法]。

IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Cadernos de saude publica Pub Date : 2024-11-22 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1590/0102-311XPT056424
Adauto Martins Soares Filho, Renato Azeredo Teixeira, Ademar Barbosa Dantas Junior, Juliana Bottoni de Souza, Marli de Mesquita Silva Montenegro, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, Maria de Fatima Marinho de Souza, Elisabeth Barboza França, Deborah Carvalho Malta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴西死亡率信息系统(SIM)(葡萄牙语缩写为underlists violence)中的基本死因质量不足,因此有必要将垃圾死因(GC)重新分配为公共卫生预防中的有效死因。本研究采用垃圾原因再分配法(GBD-巴西)估算了外部原因导致的死亡率,并将其与SIM和GBD-IHME研究中估算的2010年至2019年巴西及其各州的数据进行了比较。GBD-Brazil GC 再分配算法采用了 GBD-IHME 先前的步骤并进行了修改,使用了两个标准:目标病因(有效)的比例或调查病因的重新分类。SIM 数据未作调整。通过直接法、时间序列中的局部回归以及 GBD-巴西和 SIM 比率的标准化比率被用作交通伤害、跌倒、自杀和他杀的校正系数。十年间,巴西有 134 万人死于有效的外部原因,171 700 人死于疾病。GBD-Brazil对GC的重新分配使有效死因增加了12.2%,死亡率的趋势曲线与SIM数据相似,但在北部和东北部地区的各州与GBD-IHME存在差异。GBD-巴西的估计值改变了各州的外部原因模式,对北部和东北部各州的下降率以及其他各州的杀人率进行了更大的修正。GBD-巴西方法可用于暴力死亡分析,因为它在方法上更加简便,既保证了公共管理者的复制,又保证了估计数据的一致性,在重新分配过程中考虑到了数据的地方构成。
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[Estimates of mortality from external causes in Brazil, 2010-2019: methodology for redistribution of garbage causes].

Insufficient quality of the underlying cause of death in the Brazilian Mortality Information System (SIM), acronym in Portuguese underlists violence and it is necessary to redistribute garbage causes (GC) into valid causes in public health prevention. This study estimated mortality from external causes using the GC redistribution method (GBD-Brazil) and compared it with SIM and estimated data from the GBD-IHME study from 2010 to 2019 in Brazil and its states. The GBD-Brazil GC redistribution algorithm applies previous steps of the GBD-IHME with modifications, using two criteria: proportion of target causes (valid) or reclassification of investigated causes. The SIM data were not adjusted. Standardized rates by direct method, local regression in the time series, and the ratio of the GBD-Brazil and SIM rates are used as correction factors for traffic injuries, falls, suicides, and homicides. Brazil recorded 1.34 million deaths with valid external causes and 171,700 CG in ten years. The redistribution of GC from GBD-Brazil increased valid causes by 12.2%, and the trend curve of the rates was similar to that found with SIM data, but diverged from each other and from the GBD-IHME in states in the North and Northeast regions. The GBD-Brazil estimates changed the pattern of external causes in the states, applying greater corrections to falls in the states of the North and Northeast and homicides in the other states. The GBD-Brazil method can be used in the analysis of violent deaths because it seeks greater methodological simplicity, which guarantees both replication by public managers and consistency of the estimated data, considering the local composition of the data in the redistribution process.

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来源期刊
Cadernos de saude publica
Cadernos de saude publica 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
7.10%
发文量
356
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Cadernos de Saúde Pública/Reports in Public Health (CSP) is a monthly journal published by the Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (ENSP/FIOCRUZ). The journal is devoted to the publication of scientific articles focusing on the production of knowledge in Public Health. CSP also aims to foster critical reflection and debate on current themes related to public policies and factors that impact populations'' living conditions and health care. All articles submitted to CSP are judiciously evaluated by the Editorial Board, composed of the Editors-in-Chief and Associate Editors, respecting the diversity of approaches, objects, and methods of the different disciplines characterizing the field of Public Health. Originality, relevance, and methodological rigor are the principal characteristics considered in the editorial evaluation. The article evaluation system practiced by CSP consists of two stages.
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