气象干旱指数的遥感评价

IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics Pub Date : 2024-11-24 DOI:10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106387
Mojgan Ahmadi , Hadi Ramezani Etedali , Abbass Kaviani , Alireza Tavakoli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

干旱指数是一种适宜的管理措施和应对干旱的工具,在世界范围内得到广泛应用。评估各区域干旱状况最重要的阶段之一是确定干旱指数,以分析该区域干旱的强度和持续时间。干旱指数实际上是影响干旱现象的各种环境因子的函数。本文对库尔德斯坦省(Saqqez、Qorveh、Bijar、Sanandaj站)不同月份(1、3、6、9、12、18、24和48)的标准化降水指数(SPI)、China-Z指数(CZI)、Z Score指数(ZSI)和修正CZI (MCZI)干旱指数和正常指数(PNI)在不同月份、季节和年时间尺度上的变化进行了评价。利用全球陆地数据同化系统(GLDAS)、气候研究单位(CRU)数据集和热带降雨测量任务(TRMM) 2000-2020年降水数据和TRMM 2000-2019年降水数据,计算干旱指数。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、最大误差(ME)、Pearson和Spearman相关系数进行评价。SPI指数结果表明,在Saqqez、Qorveh和Sanandaj站的TRMM、CRU和GLDAS在5%的水平上存在显著相关,而Bijar站的TRMM在24个月的时间尺度上不存在显著相关。在1 ~ 9个月的时间尺度上,Saqqez和Sanandaj站点的SPI、CZI、ZSI和MCZI指数的相关系数结果优于Bijar和Qorveh站点。在SPI和CZI干旱指数评估中,比贾尔站GLDAS和48个月时间尺度的RMSE最高。总体而言,TRMM卫星、CRU数据集和GLDAS模型获得的SPI、CZI、ZSI、MCZI和PNI干旱指数与天气站的干旱指数具有较好的相关性。
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Evaluation of meteorological drought indices using remote sensing
Drought indices are a suitable tool for management measures and dealing with drought and are widely used worldwide. One of the most important stages of assessing the drought situation in each region is determining the drought indices to analyze the intensity and duration of drought in that region. The drought index is actually a function of various environmental factors that affect the drought phenomenon. In this study, the drought indices of the standardized precipitation index (SPI), China-Z index (CZI), Z Score Index (ZSI), and modified CZI (MCZI) in different month time scales (1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24 and 48) and the present of normal index (PNI) in different monthly, seasonally and yearly time scales in Kurdistan Province (stations Saqqez, Qorveh, Bijar, Sanandaj) were evaluated. Global land data assimilation system (GLDAS), Climatic Research Unit (CRU) dataset, and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation data (2000-2020) and TRMM precipitation (2000-2019) were received, and the drought indices were calculated. Root mean square error (RMSE), maximum error (ME), Pearson, and Spearman correlation coefficients were used for evaluation. The results of the SPI index showed that there is a significant relationship between TRMM, CRU, and GLDAS at the Saqqez, Qorveh, and Sanandaj stations (at the 5% level), and there was no significant relationship for TRMM at Bijar station for the 24-month time scale. The correlation coefficient results for the Saqqez and Sanandaj stations in time scales of 1 to 9 months for the SPI, CZI, ZSI, and MCZI indices were better than those of the Bijar and Qorveh stations. In assessing the SPI and CZI drought indices, the highest RMSE was for GLDAS at Bijar station and for the 48-month time scale. In general, the results showed that the drought indices of the SPI, CZI, ZSI, MCZI, and PNI obtained from the TRMM satellite, CRU dataset, and GLDAS model have a good correlation with the drought indices of synoptic stations.
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来源期刊
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
5.30%
发文量
95
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics (JASTP) is an international journal concerned with the inter-disciplinary science of the Earth''s atmospheric and space environment, especially the highly varied and highly variable physical phenomena that occur in this natural laboratory and the processes that couple them. The journal covers the physical processes operating in the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere, ionosphere, magnetosphere, the Sun, interplanetary medium, and heliosphere. Phenomena occurring in other "spheres", solar influences on climate, and supporting laboratory measurements are also considered. The journal deals especially with the coupling between the different regions. Solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and other energetic events on the Sun create interesting and important perturbations in the near-Earth space environment. The physics of such "space weather" is central to the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics and the journal welcomes papers that lead in the direction of a predictive understanding of the coupled system. Regarding the upper atmosphere, the subjects of aeronomy, geomagnetism and geoelectricity, auroral phenomena, radio wave propagation, and plasma instabilities, are examples within the broad field of solar-terrestrial physics which emphasise the energy exchange between the solar wind, the magnetospheric and ionospheric plasmas, and the neutral gas. In the lower atmosphere, topics covered range from mesoscale to global scale dynamics, to atmospheric electricity, lightning and its effects, and to anthropogenic changes.
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