妇科肿瘤腹腔镜手术后恶心呕吐的预测模型。

IF 3.2 4区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Clinical therapeutics Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI:10.1016/j.clinthera.2024.11.018
Yabin Zhu, Lin Jiang, Canlin Sun, Yunxiang Li, Hong Xie
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:术后恶心和呕吐(PONV)是最常见的不良事件之一,并伴有预后不良。本研究旨在探讨妇科肿瘤腹腔镜手术后PONV的独立预测因素,并确定nomogram模型。方法:回顾性纳入2021年至2024年间接受腹腔镜手术治疗妇科癌症的老年患者。主要观察终点为术后72小时内PONV的发生情况。采用二元logistic回归识别与PONV相关的独立危险因素,并由r将其纳入nomogram预测模型。结果:337例入组患者中,有104例出现PONV,总发病率为30.9%。多元逻辑回归分析表明身体质量指数(BMI)≥24.0 (OR: 2.67, 95% CI: 1.37—-5.23,P = 0.004), Afpel评分(OR: 6.54, 95%置信区间CI: 3.52 - -12.15, P < 0.001),焦虑(OR: 3.14, 95% CI: 1.16—-8.50,P = 0.025), 5 -羟色胺(5 -)(OR: 1.05, 95%置信区间CI: 1.02 - -1.07, P < 0.001),前列腺素E2 (PGE2) (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01—-1.08,P = 0.007),和白蛋白/纤维蛋白原比例(误判率)(OR: 0.40, 95%置信区间CI: 0.28 - -0.56, P < 0.001)有六个PONV的独立危险因素。基于这些因素的nomogram model对PONV有较好的预测价值,AUC为0.898。结论:本研究确定了一个个体nomogram预测模型,直观地表示预测妇科肿瘤腹腔镜手术后PONV的回归模型。
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A Prediction Model for Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting After Laparoscopic Surgery for Gynecologic Cancers.

Background: Postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) is among the most common adverse events, accompanied with impaired prognosis. This study aimed to investigate independent predictors for PONV after laparoscopic surgery for gynecologic cancers and identify a nomogram model.

Methods: Elderly patients who underwent laparoscopic surgery for gynecologic cancers between 2021 and 2024 were retrospectively enrolled. The primary observational endpoint was set as the occurrence of PONV within 72 h after surgery. Independent risk factors associated with PONV were identified by binary logistic regression, and further incorporated into the nomogram prediction mode by R.

Results: Of 337 enrolled patients, 104 experienced PONV with an overall incidence of 30.9%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated body mass index (BMI) ≥ 24.0 (OR: 2.67, 95% CI: 1.37-5.23, P = 0.004), Afpel score (OR: 6.54, 95% CI: 3.52-12.15, P < 0.001), anxiety (OR: 3.14, 95% CI: 1.16-8.50, P = 0.025), 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07, P < 0.001), prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01-1.08, P = 0.007), and albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) (OR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.28-0.56, P < 0.001) were six independent risk factors for PONV. The nomogram model based on these factors has good predictive value for PONV, with an AUC of 0.898.

Conclusions: This study identified an individual nomogram prediction model to visually represent the regression model for predicting PONV after laparoscopic surgery for gynecologic cancers.

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来源期刊
Clinical therapeutics
Clinical therapeutics 医学-药学
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
3.10%
发文量
154
审稿时长
9 weeks
期刊介绍: Clinical Therapeutics provides peer-reviewed, rapid publication of recent developments in drug and other therapies as well as in diagnostics, pharmacoeconomics, health policy, treatment outcomes, and innovations in drug and biologics research. In addition Clinical Therapeutics features updates on specific topics collated by expert Topic Editors. Clinical Therapeutics is read by a large international audience of scientists and clinicians in a variety of research, academic, and clinical practice settings. Articles are indexed by all major biomedical abstracting databases.
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