Virtual MR Elastography and Multi-b-value DWI Models for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Solitary BCLC Stage A Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Rationale and objectives: To evaluate the performance of virtual MR elastography (vMRE) for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A (≤ 5.0 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to construct a combined nomogram based on vMRE, multi-b-value DWI models, and clinical-radiological (CR) features.

Methods: Consecutive patients with suspected HCC who underwent multi-b-value DWI examinations were prospectively collected. Quantitative parameters from vMRE, mono-exponential, intravoxel incoherent motion, and diffusion kurtosis imaging models were obtained. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent MVI predictors and build prediction models. A combined MRI_Score was constructed using independent quantitative parameters. A visualized nomogram was built based on significant CR features and MRI_Score. The predictive performance of quantitative parameters and models was evaluated.

Results: The study included 103 patients (median age: 56 years; range: 35-70 years; 87 males and 16 females). Diffusion-based shear modulus (μ_Diff) exhibited a predictive performance for MVI with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.735. The MRI_Score was developed employing true diffusion coefficient (D), mean kurtosis (MK), and μ_Diff. CR model and MRI_Score achieved AUCs of 0.787 and 0.840, respectively. The combined nomogram based on AFP, corona enhancement, tumor capsule, TTPVI, and MRI_Score significantly improved the predictive performance to an AUC of 0.931 (Delong test p < 0.05).

Conclusion: vMRE exhibited great potential for predicting MVI in BCLC stage A HCC. The combined nomogram integrating CR features, vMRE, and quantitative diffusion parameters significantly improved the predictive accuracy and could potentially assist clinicians in identifying appropriate treatment options.