新冠肺炎恢复期血浆高抗体滴度图的建立。

IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q3 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Epidemiology and Infection Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI:10.1017/S0950268824001638
Shichun Wang, Jie Yan, Min Song, Zhenrui Xue, Zerong Wang, Ronghua Diao, Qi Liu, Qianying Ruan, Chunyan Yao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在开发一种预测工具,用于识别对招募COVID-19恢复期血浆(CCP)供者至关重要的高抗体滴度个体,并评估CCP的质量和储存变化。我们招募了110名血浆捐献者,其中75人符合研究标准。利用单变量逻辑回归和随机森林,确定了6个显著因素,从而形成了一个正态图。受试者工作特征曲线、校准图和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估了nomogram鉴别、校准和临床应用。形态图显示,18 ~ 26岁、O型血、接种1 ~ 2剂新冠肺炎疫苗、感染期间出现2次症状、在症状出现后41 ~ 150天献血的女性高抗体滴度可能性较高。Nomogram AUC为0.853,校准良好。DCA在9% ~ 90%的阈值范围内显示临床获益。CCP质量合格,抗体效价在6个月内稳定(P < 0.05)。这些发现强调了开发预测工具来确定合适的CCP供体,并强调CCP质量随时间的稳定性,表明其长期储存的潜力。
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Development of a nomogram for high antibody titre of COVID-19 convalescent plasma.

This study aimed to develop a predictive tool for identifying individuals with high antibody titers crucial for recruiting COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) donors and to assess the quality and storage changes of CCP. A convenience sample of 110 plasma donors was recruited, of which 75 met the study criteria. Using univariate logistic regression and random forest, 6 significant factors were identified, leading to the development of a nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated the nomogram's discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. The nomogram indicated that females aged 18 to 26, blood type O, receiving 1 to 2 COVID-19 vaccine doses, experiencing 2 symptoms during infection, and donating plasma 41 to 150 days after symptom onset had higher likelihoods of high antibody titres. Nomogram's AUC was 0.853 with good calibration. DCA showed clinical benefit within 9% ~ 90% thresholds. CCP quality was qualified, with stable antibody titres over 6 months (P > 0.05). These findings highlight developing predictive tools to identify suitable CCP donors and emphasize the stability of CCP quality over time, suggesting its potential for long-term storage.

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来源期刊
Epidemiology and Infection
Epidemiology and Infection 医学-传染病学
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
2.40%
发文量
366
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Epidemiology & Infection publishes original reports and reviews on all aspects of infection in humans and animals. Particular emphasis is given to the epidemiology, prevention and control of infectious diseases. The scope covers the zoonoses, outbreaks, food hygiene, vaccine studies, statistics and the clinical, social and public-health aspects of infectious disease, as well as some tropical infections. It has become the key international periodical in which to find the latest reports on recently discovered infections and new technology. For those concerned with policy and planning for the control of infections, the papers on mathematical modelling of epidemics caused by historical, current and emergent infections are of particular value.
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