研究公共汽车与出租车碰撞事故的伤害严重程度:随机参数逻辑模型与均值异质性方法。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI:10.1080/17457300.2024.2440939
Qiang Zeng, Zikang Li, Qianfang Wong, S C Wong, Pengpeng Xu
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Examining the injury severity of public bus-taxi crashes: a random parameters logistic model with heterogeneity in means approach.

Public buses and taxis play crucial roles in urban transportation. Ensuring their safety is of paramount importance to develop sustainable communities. This study investigated the significant factors contributing to the injury severity of bus-taxi crashes, using the crash data recorded by the police in Hong Kong from 2009 to 2019. To account for the unobserved heterogeneity, the random parameters logistic model with heterogeneity in means was elaborately developed. The results revealed that taxi driver age, bus age, traffic congestion, and taxi driver behavior had significantly heterogeneous effects on the injury severity of bus-taxi crashes and that the mean value of the random parameter for severe traffic congestion was likely to increase if the taxi's age was <5 years. Taxi driver gender, rainfall, time of day, crash location, bus driver behavior, and collision type were found to significantly affect the bus-taxi crash severity. Specifically, female taxi drivers, old taxis, rainfall, midnight, improper manipulation of bus and taxi drivers, head-on and sideswipe collision types, and non-intersections were associated with a higher likelihood of fatal and severe crashes. Based on our findings, targeted countermeasures were proposed to mitigate the injury severity of bus-taxi crashes.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
期刊最新文献
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