支持农民应对气候变化:参与式农业综合气候服务(PICSA)对马拉维小农带头人的影响

IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Development Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI:10.1111/dpr.12822
Babatunde Abidoye, Anastasia Aladysheva, Natascha Haitz, Giulia Montresor, Ted Nyekanyeka, Edvard Orlic, Martin Prowse
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候危机威胁着发展中国家农民的生计和福利。越来越多的天气变化使得向农民提供天气预报并帮助他们充分利用这些信息变得更加重要。参与式农业综合气候服务(PICSA)是一种为农民提供更好的天气预报的方法,并与农业推广人员同步,支持农民解释预报,以便为自己的农场做出适当的决定。它已在包括马拉维在内的全球南方20多个国家实施。对PICSA的审查和评价是积极的,尽管以前没有使用影响评价技术对其进行严格评价。我们评估了PICSA培训和会议对马拉维主要农民的影响,选取了PICSA运营的四个地区的农民和其他四个没有该计划的地区的农民。方法比较参加PICSA和未参加PICSA的领导农民在耕作实践、获得的产量、生计决策和粮食安全方面的结果。由于进入程序的选择不是随机的,我们使用倾向得分匹配和回归调整来纠正潜在的选择偏差。PICSA领导农民利用季节预测来规划农业决策,改变作物活动,提高玉米产量,改善粮食安全。在大多数情况下,他们与对照组之间的差异是显著的。我们的研究结果证实了PICSA在帮助农民适应气候变化方面的潜力。在类似的情况下,PICSA方法可以有效地支持小农根据气候和天气信息在参与性讨论中做出明智的农业决策。对于马拉维,有证据表明该项目或类似的项目应该继续下去。
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Supporting farmers dealing with climate change: The impact of Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA) on smallholder lead farmers in Malawi

Motivation

The climate crisis threatens the livelihoods and welfare of farmers in the global south. Increasing variability of weather makes it ever more important to get forecasts to farmers and help them make best use of this information. Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA) is an approach that gives farmers better weather forecasts and, in lockstep with agricultural extension workers, supports farmers in interpreting forecasts to make appropriate decisions for their own farms. It has been implemented across more than 20 countries of the global south, including Malawi.

Reviews and evaluations of PICSA have been positive, although it has not previously been rigorously evaluated using impact evaluation techniques.

Purpose

We estimate the impacts of PICSA training and meetings on lead farmers in Malawi, taking farmers in four districts where PICSA operated, and farmers in four other districts where the programme was not present.

Methods

We compare outcomes in farming practice, yields obtained, livelihood decisions and food security between lead farmers who participated in PICSA and those who did not. Because selection into the programme was not random, we use propensity score matching and regression adjustment to correct for potential selection bias.

Findings

PICSA lead farmers used seasonal forecasts to plan farm decisions, change crop activities, increase maize yields, and improve their food security. Differences between them and the control group were, in most cases, significant.

Our results confirm the potential of PICSA to help farmers adapt to climate change.

Policy

In similar contexts, the PICSA approach could effectively support smallholders to make informed agricultural decisions, in participatory discussions, based on climate and weather information.

For Malawi, the evidence suggests the programme or something similar should be continued.

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来源期刊
Development Policy Review
Development Policy Review DEVELOPMENT STUDIES-
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
5.90%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Development Policy Review is the refereed journal that makes the crucial links between research and policy in international development. Edited by staff of the Overseas Development Institute, the London-based think-tank on international development and humanitarian issues, it publishes single articles and theme issues on topics at the forefront of current development policy debate. Coverage includes the latest thinking and research on poverty-reduction strategies, inequality and social exclusion, property rights and sustainable livelihoods, globalisation in trade and finance, and the reform of global governance. Informed, rigorous, multi-disciplinary and up-to-the-minute, DPR is an indispensable tool for development researchers and practitioners alike.
期刊最新文献
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