风的变化增强ENSO

IF 29.6 1区地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI:10.1038/s41558-024-02228-3

Bronwyn Wake

引用次数: 0

摘要

预计气候变化将改变自然气候现象，例如，据报道厄尔Niño-Southern涛动（ENSO）的阶段将加剧。控制太平洋背景状态的海洋温度和上覆大气环流的变化被认为决定了ENSO的频率和强度；然而，这并不能完全解释模式预估中所见的ENSO变化。耶鲁大学的Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen、Alexey Fedorov及其同事的研究考虑了热带风在未来随着气候变化而扩大ENSO的作用。利用具有高排放情景的CMIP6模型和开发混合统计动力学模型，他们发现风应力异常——强度、纬向结构和经向宽度的变化——可以解释ENSO强度预计变化的50%以上。在这些变化中，经向展宽被发现是最重要的，这得到了理论模型的支持。这些结果表明，ENSO振幅的变化在很大程度上是风应力异常以及背景状态变化的结果。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Nature Climate Change ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

CiteScore

40.30

自引率

1.60%

发文量

267

审稿时长

4-8 weeks

期刊介绍： Nature Climate Change is dedicated to addressing the scientific challenge of understanding Earth's changing climate and its societal implications. As a monthly journal, it publishes significant and cutting-edge research on the nature, causes, and impacts of global climate change, as well as its implications for the economy, policy, and the world at large. The journal publishes original research spanning the natural and social sciences, synthesizing interdisciplinary research to provide a comprehensive understanding of climate change. It upholds the high standards set by all Nature-branded journals, ensuring top-tier original research through a fair and rigorous review process, broad readership access, high standards of copy editing and production, rapid publication, and independence from academic societies and other vested interests. Nature Climate Change serves as a platform for discussion among experts, publishing opinion, analysis, and review articles. It also features Research Highlights to highlight important developments in the field and original reporting from renowned science journalists in the form of feature articles. Topics covered in the journal include adaptation, atmospheric science, ecology, economics, energy, impacts and vulnerability, mitigation, oceanography, policy, sociology, and sustainability, among others.

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