停止规则和贝叶斯确认理论

IF 1.5 1区 哲学 Q1 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE European Journal for Philosophy of Science Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI:10.1007/s13194-024-00630-4
Yunbing Li, Yongfeng Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文主要研究一般的贝叶斯确认措施是否受到停止规则的影响。结果表明,差异测度d、对数比测度r和对数似然测度l不受非信息性停止规则的影响,而受信息性停止规则的影响。相比之下,Carnap测度\(\tau \)、归一化差分测度n和Mortimer测度m有时受到(非)信息性停止规则的影响,有时不受影响。此外,我们用两个例子进一步说明确认测度d、r和l优于\(\tau ,n\)和m。
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Stopping rule and Bayesian confirmation theory

This article mainly investigates whether common Bayesian confirmation measures are affected by stopping rules. The results indicate that difference measure d, log-ratio measure r, and log-likelihood measure l are not affected by non-informative stopping rules, but affected by informative stopping rules. In contrast, Carnap measure \(\tau \), normalized difference measure n, and Mortimer measure m are affected by (non-)informative stopping rules sometimes but sometimes aren’t. Besides, we use two examples to further illustrate that confirmation measures d, r, and l are better than \(\tau ,n\), and m.

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来源期刊
European Journal for Philosophy of Science
European Journal for Philosophy of Science HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
13.30%
发文量
57
期刊介绍: The European Journal for Philosophy of Science publishes groundbreaking works that can deepen understanding of the concepts and methods of the sciences, as they explore increasingly many facets of the world we live in. It is of direct interest to philosophers of science coming from different perspectives, as well as scientists, citizens and policymakers. The journal is interested in articles from all traditions and all backgrounds, as long as they engage with the sciences in a constructive, and critical, way. The journal represents the various longstanding European philosophical traditions engaging with the sciences, but welcomes articles from every part of the world.
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