气候引起的移民不确定性的新指数

IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY International Migration Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI:10.1111/imig.13384
Sulaiman Salisu, Afees Salisu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化对世界的影响是巨大的,导致各种努力来减少其风险。这项研究旨在创建一个新的指数来衡量由于气候变化而导致的移民的不确定性。它使用一系列拥有全球读者群的国际报纸。尽管气候变化越来越多地影响了脆弱地区的移民决策,但仍然缺乏探索这种联系的定量研究,这是本研究旨在解决的问题。该指数表明,气候导致的移民决策呈增长趋势,特别是在过去二十年中,这支持了该研究的目的。我们还提出了实证结果,验证了不确定性指数在全球、地区和国家特定水平上对人均GDP增长的抑制作用。该指数有多种实际应用,对未来的研究也很有用。
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A new index for climate‐induced migration uncertainty
The impact of climate change on the world has been significant, leading to various efforts to reduce its risks. This study aims to create a new index to measure the uncertainty surrounding migration due to climate change. It uses a range of international newspapers with a global readership. Although climate change has increasingly influenced migration decisions in vulnerable areas, there is still a lack of quantitative research exploring this connection, which our study aims to address. The index indicates a growing trend in climate‐induced migration decisions, especially over the last two decades, supporting the study's purpose. We also present empirical results that validate the depressing effect of the uncertainty index on per Capita GDP growth at global, regional and country‐specific levels. The index has various practical applications and can be useful for future research.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
10.50%
发文量
130
期刊介绍: International Migration is a refereed, policy oriented journal on migration issues as analysed by demographers, economists, sociologists, political scientists and other social scientists from all parts of the world. It covers the entire field of policy relevance in international migration, giving attention not only to a breadth of topics reflective of policy concerns, but also attention to coverage of all regions of the world and to comparative policy.
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