自动驾驶汽车和未来的漫漫长路

IF 17.6 1区 物理与天体物理 Q1 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Nature Physics Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI:10.1038/s41567-024-02749-w
Mark Buchanan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管特斯拉、谷歌、苹果和 Cruise(隶属于通用汽车公司)等公司投入数百亿美元用于研发,并投入更多资金用于游说、广告和公关,以说服公众自动驾驶汽车势在必行,但这种情况还是没有发生。较少偏见的专家对自动驾驶汽车的发展做出了更好的预测。例如,弗吉尼亚州交通政策研究所的交通工程师兼历史学家托德-利特曼(Todd Litman)很早以前就提出(https://www.vtpi.org/avip.pdf),根据与历史上其他技术采用情况的比较,自动驾驶技术的广泛采用肯定在十年以上,很可能在三五十年之后。如今看来,他的预测是有先见之明的。这可能会让最近大肆炒作人工智能近期影响的人感到失望,自动驾驶汽车就是一个最突出的例子。支持者所预见的好处包括减少交通拥堵和污染,提高驾驶便利性,最重要的是大幅减少交通事故死亡人数。开发这种技术的公司声称,如今的自动驾驶原型车已经比人类驾驶员更加安全。但他们的证据令人信服吗?完全没有。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊
Nature Physics
Nature Physics 物理-物理:综合
CiteScore
30.40
自引率
2.00%
发文量
349
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Nature Physics is dedicated to publishing top-tier original research in physics with a fair and rigorous review process. It provides high visibility and access to a broad readership, maintaining high standards in copy editing and production, ensuring rapid publication, and maintaining independence from academic societies and other vested interests. The journal presents two main research paper formats: Letters and Articles. Alongside primary research, Nature Physics serves as a central source for valuable information within the physics community through Review Articles, News & Views, Research Highlights covering crucial developments across the physics literature, Commentaries, Book Reviews, and Correspondence.
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