关于自然事件引发的技术事故的最新观点

IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Arabian Journal of Geosciences Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI:10.1007/s12517-025-12180-x
Burcu Yalçın, Hakan Gürün
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在快速工业化、气候变化和人为风险的推动下,自然事件引发的技术事故(Natech)事件在全球范围内发生的频率越来越高。了解Natech风险的所有动态是非常复杂的。通常,多种危害之间的相互作用被忽视。研究主要集中在单个自然灾害上,检查最常见的损害情况,导致Natech研究中反复出现的研究周期和对其他自然灾害的潜在疏忽(风险近视)。天坑对工业的威胁每年都在增加,并有可能升级。此外,这种危险也可能由人为压力源引发。天坑威胁需要在科技研究中得到足够的重视。另一种威胁,即人为活动引起的诱发地震活动,需要在技术事故的风险评估中得到充分处理。Natech研究的重点行业包括存储、化学和石化行业。对制造业(玻璃、金属、铸造、纺织、家具、汽车)研究的需求强调了文献中的空白。本研究旨在通过引起对人为活动的关注,提出一种既不同又支持文献中流行方法的论点,这些活动在分析由自然灾害引发的技术事故时经常被忽视,存在潜在危险的自然事件,以及完全被忽视或研究有限的工业部门。
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An up-to-date perspective on technological accidents triggered by natural events

Technological Accidents Triggered by Natural Events (Natech) incidents are occurring more frequently worldwide, driven by rapid industrialization, climate change, and human-induced risks. Understanding all the dynamics of Natech risk is highly complex. Frequently, interactions between multiple hazards are disregarded. Studies have primarily focused on individual natural hazards, examining the most common damage scenarios, resulting in a recurring research cycle in Natech studies and potential oversight of other natural hazards (risk myopia). Sinkholes are becoming an increasing threat to industries every year, with the potential to escalate. Moreover, this hazard can also be triggered by anthropogenic stressors. The sinkhole threat needs to receive adequate attention in Natech research. Another threat, induced seismicity caused by anthropogenic activities, needs to be sufficiently addressed in the risk assessment of Natech accidents. The focal industries of Natech research include the storage, chemistry, and petrochemical sectors. The need for studies in the manufacturing industry (glass, metal, casting, textiles, furniture, automotive) underscores a gap in the literature. This study aims to present an argument that is both different and supportive of prevailing approaches in the literature by drawing attention to anthropogenic activities, often overlooked in the analysis of technological accidents triggered by natural hazards, the presence of potentially dangerous natural events, and industrial sectors that have been either wholly overlooked or the subject of limited research.

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来源期刊
Arabian Journal of Geosciences
Arabian Journal of Geosciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1587
审稿时长
6.7 months
期刊介绍: The Arabian Journal of Geosciences is the official journal of the Saudi Society for Geosciences and publishes peer-reviewed original and review articles on the entire range of Earth Science themes, focused on, but not limited to, those that have regional significance to the Middle East and the Euro-Mediterranean Zone. Key topics therefore include; geology, hydrogeology, earth system science, petroleum sciences, geophysics, seismology and crustal structures, tectonics, sedimentology, palaeontology, metamorphic and igneous petrology, natural hazards, environmental sciences and sustainable development, geoarchaeology, geomorphology, paleo-environment studies, oceanography, atmospheric sciences, GIS and remote sensing, geodesy, mineralogy, volcanology, geochemistry and metallogenesis.
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