2010-2023年中国生殖器疱疹流行病学特征及时空分布分析

Z W Chen, S Q Liang, X L Yue, J Li, J H Zhang, X D Gong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:了解2010 - 2023年中国生殖器疱疹流行病学特征及时空分布,为预防和控制生殖器疱疹提供依据。方法:收集中国疾病预防控制信息系统2010 - 2023年全国31个省(区、市)报告的生殖器疱疹病例数据。采用Joinpoint 5.2.0软件分析生殖器疱疹流行病学特征,ArcGIS 10.5软件进行空间自相关分析,SaTScan 10.2.3软件进行时空扫描分析。结果:2010 - 2023年,中国生殖器疱疹报告发病率由1.58/10万上升至2.00/10万,年均变化率为0.90%。报告发病率呈显著上升趋势(t=2.35, P=0.037)。全球Moran’s I值在0.36 ~ 0.51之间呈空间正相关。结论:2010 - 2023年,中国生殖器疱疹报告发病率呈上升趋势,且存在明显的时空聚类性。热点分布与时空聚类区分布基本一致,主要分布在东南沿海和西南地区,时空聚类区由东南沿海逐渐向西南地区转变。
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[Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of genital herpes in China, 2010-2023].

Objective: To understand the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of genital herpes in China from 2010 to 2023 and provide evidence for the prevention and control of genital herpes. Methods: The reported data of genital herpes cases in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2010 to 2023 were collected from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting System of China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Software Joinpoint 5.2.0 was used to analyze the epidemiological characteristics of genital herpes, software ArcGIS 10.5 was used for spatial autocorrelation analysis, and software SaTScan 10.2.3 was used for spatiotemporal scanning analysis. Results: The reported incidence rate of genital herpes increased from 1.58/100 000 to 2.00/100 000 in China from 2010 to 2023, with an average annual percentage change of 0.90%. The upward trend of reported incidence rate was significant (t=2.35, P=0.037). There was a positive spatial autocorrelation in the reported incidence of genital herpes with the global Moran's I ranging from 0.36 to 0.51 (all P<0.001). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the number of hotspots increased from 144 in 2010 to 232 in 2023, mainly distributed in provinces Zhejiang, Guangdong, Guangxi, Chongqing and Hunan. The number of hotspots in of Chongqing, Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou increased significantly from 7 to 57. A total of 67 spatiotemporal clusters were detected by spatiotemporal scanning analysis, mainly distributed in Guangdong from 2011 to 2015, in Zhejiang and Fujian from 2015 to 2019, and in Chongqing and Guizhou from 2019 to 2023. Conclusions: From 2010 to 2023, the reported incidence of genital herpes in China showed an upward trend, and there was an obvious spatiotemporal clustering of genital herpes. The distribution of hotspots was basically consistent with the distribution of spatiotemporal clustering areas, mainly distributed in the southeastern coastal area and southwestern region, and the spatiotemporal clustering areas gradually changed from the southeast coastal area to the southwest region.

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来源期刊
中华流行病学杂志
中华流行病学杂志 Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8981
期刊介绍: Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, established in 1981, is an advanced academic periodical in epidemiology and related disciplines in China, which, according to the principle of integrating theory with practice, mainly reports the major progress in epidemiological research. The columns of the journal include commentary, expert forum, original article, field investigation, disease surveillance, laboratory research, clinical epidemiology, basic theory or method and review, etc.  The journal is included by more than ten major biomedical databases and index systems worldwide, such as been indexed in Scopus, PubMed/MEDLINE, PubMed Central (PMC), Europe PubMed Central, Embase, Chemical Abstract, Chinese Science and Technology Paper and Citation Database (CSTPCD), Chinese core journal essentials overview, Chinese Science Citation Database (CSCD) core database, Chinese Biological Medical Disc (CBMdisc), and Chinese Medical Citation Index (CMCI), etc. It is one of the core academic journals and carefully selected core journals in preventive and basic medicine in China.
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