{"title":"汇率失调与经济增长：全球价值链的作用","authors":"Shiu-Sheng Chen , Yao-Ting Huang , Tzu-Yu Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103252","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the impact of global value chain (GVC) participation on the relationship between real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth. Employing a panel framework encompassing 183 countries from 1990 to 2019, we find that an undervalued real exchange rate is associated with higher economic growth. However, our analysis also reveals that increased GVC participation diminishes the positive effect of undervaluation on economic growth with moderate statistical significance. Consequently, the potential competitiveness gains from an undervalued currency might be offset by deeper integration into global production networks. It is worth noting that the empirical findings are most prominent for advanced economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48331,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Money and Finance","volume":"151 ","pages":"Article 103252"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Misaligned currencies and economic growth: The role of global value chains\",\"authors\":\"Shiu-Sheng Chen , Yao-Ting Huang , Tzu-Yu Lin\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103252\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We investigate the impact of global value chain (GVC) participation on the relationship between real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth. Employing a panel framework encompassing 183 countries from 1990 to 2019, we find that an undervalued real exchange rate is associated with higher economic growth. However, our analysis also reveals that increased GVC participation diminishes the positive effect of undervaluation on economic growth with moderate statistical significance. Consequently, the potential competitiveness gains from an undervalued currency might be offset by deeper integration into global production networks. It is worth noting that the empirical findings are most prominent for advanced economies.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48331,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of International Money and Finance\",\"volume\":\"151 \",\"pages\":\"Article 103252\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of International Money and Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261560624002390\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/12/6 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Money and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261560624002390","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/12/6 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Misaligned currencies and economic growth: The role of global value chains
We investigate the impact of global value chain (GVC) participation on the relationship between real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth. Employing a panel framework encompassing 183 countries from 1990 to 2019, we find that an undervalued real exchange rate is associated with higher economic growth. However, our analysis also reveals that increased GVC participation diminishes the positive effect of undervaluation on economic growth with moderate statistical significance. Consequently, the potential competitiveness gains from an undervalued currency might be offset by deeper integration into global production networks. It is worth noting that the empirical findings are most prominent for advanced economies.
期刊介绍：
Since its launch in 1982, Journal of International Money and Finance has built up a solid reputation as a high quality scholarly journal devoted to theoretical and empirical research in the fields of international monetary economics, international finance, and the rapidly developing overlap area between the two. Researchers in these areas, and financial market professionals too, pay attention to the articles that the journal publishes. Authors published in the journal are in the forefront of scholarly research on exchange rate behaviour, foreign exchange options, international capital markets, international monetary and fiscal policy, international transmission and related questions.
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