疥疮传播动力学建模:具有频谱搭配和神经网络见解的随机方法

IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY The European Physical Journal Plus Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI:10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-06025-5
Jamal Shah, Hameed Khan, Emad A. A. Ismail, Fuad A. Awaad, Abhinav Kumar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用勒让德谱搭配技术(LSCM)对随机疥疮模型进行了计算分析。通过建议的随机微分方程将随机性纳入模型,我们没收了疾病生长和传播所需的随机波动。详细分析了LSCM的稳定性、收敛性和准确性,展示了其在解决复杂流行病学问题方面的有效性。此外,该数学模型用于解释疥疮感染在标准发病率人群中的传播动力学。首先对疥疮的动力学进行了图解,然后利用质量作用定律推导了疥疮的常微分方程。分析了正性、有界性和平衡点。下一代技术用于确定繁殖数量。并进行了敏感性分析,探讨了各参数对繁殖数的影响。当\(R_{0} < 1\)时,无病平衡点在局部渐近存在。通过与利用谱配置方法得到的数据集结果的比较,证明了利用神经网络构建的随机计算的准确性和有效性。我们的研究表明,减轻疥疮的严重影响需要及时发现和及时干预。此外,我们的数学模型可作为完善疾病管理策略的宝贵工具。本研究增强了我们对疥疮动力学的理解,为公共卫生规划和流行病控制提供了可行的见解。
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Modeling scabies transmission dynamics: a stochastic approach with spectral collocation and neural network insights

This research conducts a computational analysis of a stochastic scabies model using the Legendre spectral collocation technique (LSCM). By including stochasticity into the model via the suggested stochastic differential equations, we are confiscating the random fluctuations required for disease growth and spread. The stability, convergence, and accurate characteristics of the LSCM are meticulously examined, showcasing its efficacy in addressing complicated epidemiological problems. Furthermore, this mathematical model is used to explain the transmission dynamics of scabies infection in the population with standard incident rate. The dynamics of scabies are illustrated schematically, and then an ordinary differential equation (ODE) is derived using the law of mass action. Positiveness, boundedness, and equilibrium points have been analyzed. Next-generation techniques are used to determine the reproduction number. Sensitivity analysis is also accomplished to investigate the impact of various parameters of reproduction number. Disease-free equilibrium exists asymptotically in local whenever \(R_{0} < 1\). The accuracy and effectiveness of the constructed stochastic computing using neural networks are shown by a comparison of the results derived from the dataset utilizing the spectral collocation approach. Our research demonstrates that mitigating the severe impacts of scabies requires prompt detection and timely intervention. Additionally, our mathematical model serves as a valuable tool for refining disease management strategies. This study enhances our understanding of scabies dynamics, offering actionable insights into public health planning and epidemic control.

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来源期刊
The European Physical Journal Plus
The European Physical Journal Plus PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
8.80%
发文量
1150
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The aims of this peer-reviewed online journal are to distribute and archive all relevant material required to document, assess, validate and reconstruct in detail the body of knowledge in the physical and related sciences. The scope of EPJ Plus encompasses a broad landscape of fields and disciplines in the physical and related sciences - such as covered by the topical EPJ journals and with the explicit addition of geophysics, astrophysics, general relativity and cosmology, mathematical and quantum physics, classical and fluid mechanics, accelerator and medical physics, as well as physics techniques applied to any other topics, including energy, environment and cultural heritage.
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