基于机器学习的外热力锂离子电池热失控预测

IF 4 Energy Storage Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI:10.1002/est2.70111
Enes Furkan Örs, Nader Javani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前的研究旨在利用五种人工智能算法,考虑环境因素和各种设计参数,预测锂离子电池的热失控。机器学习算法采用多元线性回归、k近邻、决策树和随机森林,深度学习算法采用人工神经网络。使用19个实验数据集来训练模型。首先,利用Pearson相关矩阵分析了输入参数对热失控发生时间的影响。然后更新数据集,仅包括由外部热源产生的热失控的测试。通过对各模型性能预测的比较,决策树模型的决定系数(R2)得分为0.9881,是预测性能最好的模型,其次是随机森林模型、k近邻模型、人工神经网络模型和多元线性回归模型。当外部加热和压缩力触发热失控时,对数据集进行修改。结果表明,在这种情况下,决策树模型的性能R2为0.9742。最后,预测了模型性能最优的受力范围,有助于进行试验,获得可靠的结果。
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Machine Learning for Predicting Thermal Runaway in Lithium-Ion Batteries With External Heat and Force

The current study aims to predict the thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries using five artificial intelligence algorithms, considering the environmental factors and various design parameters. Multiple linear regression, k-nearest neighbors, decision tree, and random forest are used as machine learning algorithms, while artificial neural networks are used as deep learning algorithms. Nineteen experimental datasets are used to train the models. First, Pearson's correlation matrix is used to investigate the effects of input parameters on the thermal runaway onset time. The dataset is then updated to include only tests with thermal runaway produced by an external heat source. As a result of comparison among model performance prediction, it is determined that the decision tree model is the best-performing model with a coefficient of determination (R2) score of 0.9881, followed by random forest, k-nearest neighbors, artificial neural networks, and multiple linear regression models. The dataset is modified when the thermal runaway is triggered by external heating and compression forces. Results show that in this case, the performance of the decision tree model has an R2 of 0.9742. Finally, the force range in which the model has the best performance is predicted, which is helpful in conducting tests to obtain reliable results.

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