有效的环境政策能否减轻新兴经济体自然资源开采的负担?分位数回归的证据

IF 8.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Gondwana Research Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-19 DOI:10.1016/j.gr.2025.01.005
Ahsan Anwar , Arshian Sharif
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2015年可持续发展目标(SDG)获得批准以来,关于现行环境规则和政策能否减少环境退化,从而在2030年之前实现可持续发展目标的争论越来越多。因此,本研究试图结合自然资源租金(NRR)和可再生能源消费(REC)的作用,实证检验环境政策严谨性(EPS)对二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究首次采用STIRPAT模型对1996-2019年新兴六国(中国、印度、巴西、土耳其、印度尼西亚和俄罗斯)的环境政策严谨性和自然资源租金对二氧化碳排放的综合影响进行了研究。为此,我们使用第二代估计技术和面板分位数回归来检验EPS、NRR和REC在不同分位数(第10至第90分位数)对碳排放的异质性或单独影响。与OLS回归不同,面板分位数回归方法提供了更灵活和自适应的分析,因为它不假设预定义的分布。此外,分位数回归表明,即使存在异常值,它也可以产生准确可靠的结果。实证结果表明,严格的环境政策减少了碳排放。同样,EPS和NRR的相互作用项也与CO2排放量呈负相关。基于实证结果,本研究提出了实现可持续发展目标13(气候变化)、可持续发展目标08(体面劳动和经济增长)、可持续发展目标09(创新)和可持续发展目标12(负责任消费)的综合政策框架。此外,E-6经济体的政府应该加强环境法规。
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Can effective environmental policies reduce the burden of natural resources exploitation in emerging economies? Evidence from quantile regression
Since the approval of sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2015, there has been a growing debate about whether the prevailing environmental rules and policies can reduce environmental degradation to achieve the SDG targets by 2030. Therefore, the present study tries to empirically examine the impact of environmental policy stringency (EPS) on CO2 emissions by incorporating the role of natural resources rent (NRR) and renewable energy consumption (REC). This study is the earliest attempt to investigate the combined impact of environmental policy stringency and natural resources rent on CO2 emissions by using the STIRPAT model for the emerging six countries (China, India, Brazil, Turkey, Indonesia, and Russia) during 1996–2019. In doing so, we use second-generation estimation techniques and panel quantile regression to check the heterogeneous or separate impact of EPS, NRR, and REC at different quantiles (10th to 90th quantile) on carbon emissions. Unlike OLS regression, the panel quantile regression approach provides a more flexible and adaptive analysis as it does not assume a predefined distribution. Additionally, quantile regression shows that it may produce accurate and reliable results even when there are outliers. The empirical outcomes claim that environmental policy stringency reduces carbon emissions. Similarly, the interaction term of EPS and NRR also has a negative relationship with CO2 emissions. Based on the empirical outcomes, this study proposes a comprehensive policy framework for achieving the targets of SDG-13 (climate change), SDG-08 (decent work and economic growth), SDG-09 (innovations), and SDG-12 (responsible consumption). Moreover, the governments of the E-6 economies should tighten up the environmental regulations.
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来源期刊
Gondwana Research
Gondwana Research 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
6.60%
发文量
298
审稿时长
65 days
期刊介绍: Gondwana Research (GR) is an International Journal aimed to promote high quality research publications on all topics related to solid Earth, particularly with reference to the origin and evolution of continents, continental assemblies and their resources. GR is an "all earth science" journal with no restrictions on geological time, terrane or theme and covers a wide spectrum of topics in geosciences such as geology, geomorphology, palaeontology, structure, petrology, geochemistry, stable isotopes, geochronology, economic geology, exploration geology, engineering geology, geophysics, and environmental geology among other themes, and provides an appropriate forum to integrate studies from different disciplines and different terrains. In addition to regular articles and thematic issues, the journal invites high profile state-of-the-art reviews on thrust area topics for its column, ''GR FOCUS''. Focus articles include short biographies and photographs of the authors. Short articles (within ten printed pages) for rapid publication reporting important discoveries or innovative models of global interest will be considered under the category ''GR LETTERS''.
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