基于四方进化博弈的航运业碳减排

IF 3.4 2区 生物学 Q1 MARINE & FRESHWATER BIOLOGY Frontiers in Marine Science Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI:10.3389/fmars.2025.1527598
Suyong Zhang, Xiyan Song
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摘要

为了实现经济发展与环境效益的双赢,本文基于进化博弈理论构建了政府、两个同质港口和航运公司三方的进化博弈模型。通过计算各方的收益矩阵和复制动态方程,根据Jacobi矩阵,研究并讨论了模型在五种不同情况下可能的稳定点。利用MATLAB对游戏进行仿真,选取相关参数进行灵敏度分析。结果表明,当政府不实施政策,港口和航运公司使用岸电系统(即稳定点E12(0,1,1,1))时,环境效益最大化。同时,通过对港口规模敏感性的分析,当t=1.116时,大型港口的演变趋向于0,而小型港口则上下波动,从而得出小型港口实施岸电的潜力更大,能够更快获得效益的结论。本研究为岸电制度的实施提供理论支持,同时指出政府在推动岸电发展中的关键作用。为在碳减排背景下有效推进岸电使用提供了参考,对于小规模港口实施岸电尤为重要,有助于实现港口运营环境效益的最大化。
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Carbon emissions reduction in shipping based on four-party evolutionary game
In order to realize a win-win situation between economic development and environmental benefits, this paper constructs a four-party evolutionary game model including the government, two homogeneous ports and shipping companies based on evolutionary game theory. By calculating the payoff matrices of the four parties and replicating the dynamic equations, according to the Jacobi matrix, we study and discuss the possible stabilization points of the model under five different scenarios. The game is simulated using MATLAB and the relevant parameters are selected for sensitivity analysis. The results show that the environmental benefits are maximized when the government does not implement the policy and the port and shipping companies use the shore electricty system (i.e., the stability point E12 (0,1,1,1)). Meanwhile, by analyzing the port size sensitivity, when t=1.116, the large-scale port evolution tends to 0, while the small-scale port fluctuates up and down, which leads to the conclusion that the small-scale ports have more potential to implement shore electricty and are able to gain benefits faster. This study provides theoretical support for the implementation of shore electricty systems, while pointing out the key role of the government in promoting the development of shore electricty. It provides a reference for effectively promoting the use of shore electricty in the context of carbon emission reduction, which is especially important for the implementation of shore electricty in small-scale ports and helps to maximize the environmental benefits of port operations.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Marine Science
Frontiers in Marine Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Aquatic Science
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
16.20%
发文量
2443
审稿时长
14 weeks
期刊介绍: Frontiers in Marine Science publishes rigorously peer-reviewed research that advances our understanding of all aspects of the environment, biology, ecosystem functioning and human interactions with the oceans. Field Chief Editor Carlos M. Duarte at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal is supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international researchers. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics, policy makers and the public worldwide. With the human population predicted to reach 9 billion people by 2050, it is clear that traditional land resources will not suffice to meet the demand for food or energy, required to support high-quality livelihoods. As a result, the oceans are emerging as a source of untapped assets, with new innovative industries, such as aquaculture, marine biotechnology, marine energy and deep-sea mining growing rapidly under a new era characterized by rapid growth of a blue, ocean-based economy. The sustainability of the blue economy is closely dependent on our knowledge about how to mitigate the impacts of the multiple pressures on the ocean ecosystem associated with the increased scale and diversification of industry operations in the ocean and global human pressures on the environment. Therefore, Frontiers in Marine Science particularly welcomes the communication of research outcomes addressing ocean-based solutions for the emerging challenges, including improved forecasting and observational capacities, understanding biodiversity and ecosystem problems, locally and globally, effective management strategies to maintain ocean health, and an improved capacity to sustainably derive resources from the oceans.
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