异种和同源疫苗策略的可持续疫苗供应-生产-分配网络:双目标优化

IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-26 DOI:10.1016/j.seps.2024.102113
Ali Jahed , Seyyed Mohammad Hadji Molana , Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

针对严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)-CoV-2的异源和同源冠状病毒病2019 (COVID-19)疫苗接种是一种强大且主动适应的策略。然而,仍然缺乏适当的数学模型来将疫苗接种策略整合到疫苗供应链网络中。本研究首次在可持续疫苗供应-生产-分销网络(SVSPDN)中提出了供应-生产-分销-库存-分配问题来填补这一空白。这项研究的突出新颖之处在于疫苗的优先排序和注射剂量的排序,以提高疫苗接种的有效性。此外,该数学模型的显著新贡献是设计了新的双目标、多剂量、多层次、多周期,以确保整个网络的可持续性性能。这一目标可以通过尽量减少供应、生产和分发疫苗的成本,并通过最大限度地提高疫苗接种效力来实现社会目标来实现。同时,提出了一种基于场景的鲁棒随机优化方法来处理不确定性。由于SVSPDN设计是NP-hard问题,为了求解该数学模型,采用了基于pareto的非支配排序遗传算法(NSGA-II)、多目标粒子群优化(MOPSO)和多目标灰狼优化(MOGWO)三种进化算法。利用元启发式算法对输入参数的敏感性,采用田口设计方法对参数进行调优。然后,使用四个评估指标进行比较,包括帕累托解数(NPS)、多样化矩阵(DM)、平均理想距离(MID)、非优势解的传播(SNS)和计算时间(CT)。结果表明,NSGA-II和MOGWO算法具有非常接近的性能。然而,MOGWO在解决问题方面表现更好,在评估指标和计算时间方面优于NSGA-II和MOPSO。以伊朗为例,验证了该模型的有效性和适用性。最后,讨论了敏感性分析、管理见解和实践意义。
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A sustainable vaccine supply-production-distribution network with heterologous and homologous vaccination strategies: Bi-objective optimization
Heterologous and homologous Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)-CoV-2 are robust and proactively adaptable strategies. However, there is still a lack of appropriate mathematical models for integrating vaccination strategies into the vaccine supply chain network. This study develops a supply-production-distribution-inventory-allocation problem in the Sustainable Vaccine Supply-Production-Distribution Network (SVSPDN) to fill this gap for the first time. The outstanding novelties of this research are prioritizing vaccines and sequencing injection doses to increase vaccination effectiveness. In addition, the remarkable new contribution of the proposed mathematical model is the design of new bi-objective, multi-dose, multi-level, and multi-period to ensure the sustainability performance of the entire network. This aim is achievable by minimizing the cost of supplying, producing, and distributing vaccines and fulfilling social goals by maximizing vaccination effectiveness. Also, a scenario-based robust stochastic optimization approach is presented to handle uncertainties. Since the SVSPDN design is an NP-hard problem, to solve the proposed mathematical model, three Pareto-based evolutionary algorithms, including Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II), Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization (MOPSO), and Multi-Objective Gray Wolf Optimizer (MOGWO), are applied. The Taguchi design method is applied to tuning the parameters due to the sensitivity of meta-heuristic algorithms to input parameters. Then, a comparison is performed using four assessment metrics, including the Number of Pareto Solutions (NPS), Diversification Matrix (DM), Mean Ideal Distance (MID), Spread of Non-Dominance Solutions (SNS), and Computation Time (CT). The results reveal that the NSGA-II and MOGWO algorithms have performances that are very close to each other. However, MOGWO performs better in tackling the problem and is superior to the NSGA-II and MOPSO regarding assessment metrics and computation time. A case study of Iran is investigated to indicate the efficiency and applicability of the proposed model. Finally, sensitivity analyses, managerial insights, and practical implications are discussed.
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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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