在多重离散连续选择模型中允许内生最小消费界限:在支出模式中的应用

IF 7.2 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-03 DOI:10.1016/j.tra.2025.104393
Andrea Pellegrini, John Matthew Rose
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,我们开发了一个新的计量经济学框架,允许内生估计最小商品数量,以及它们对个人多重离散/连续消费选择的后续影响。为此,我们将删减的Tobit模型(Tobin, 1958)与多个离散连续极值(MDCEV)模型(Bhat, 2005, Bhat, 2008)配对,前者用于根据决策者的人口统计学特征确定消费的下限。建议的模型适用于一项基于网络的调查,该调查旨在审查以下类别的每月支出决定:娱乐、家庭账单、杂项费用、租金/抵押付款、购物、交通、儿童保育和其他未指明的支出。除了提供有关实际开支的资料外,还请征聘的答复者指出他们可能在指定的开支类别上花费的最低开支数额。估计的结果表明,在MDCEV模型中允许内生的最小消费金额可以更好地理解驱动个人消费行为的决定因素,同时也可以在样本内外提供更准确的预测。
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On allowing endogenous minimum consumption bounds in the multiple discrete continuous choice model: An application to expenditure patterns
In this study, we develop a novel econometric framework that allows for endogenously estimating minimum goods amounts, and their subsequent impact on individuals’ multiple discrete/continuous consumption choices. To do so, we pair a censored Tobit model (Tobin, 1958) with a Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) model (Bhat, 2005, Bhat, 2008), with the former being employed to identify lower bounds on consumptions based upon the demographic characteristics of decision-makers. The model proposed is applied to a web-based survey designed to examine monthly expenditure decisions for the following categories: entertainment, household bills, miscellaneous costs, rent/mortgage payments, shopping, transport, childcare and other unspecified expenditure. In addition to providing information on actual expenses, recruited respondents were also asked to indicate the minimum expenditure amount they could potentially spend on the designated expenditure categories. The estimated findings suggest that allowing endogenous minimum consumption amounts within the MDCEV model results in a better understanding of the determinants driving individuals’ expenditure behaviour, whilst also providing more accurate prediction both within and out of sample.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
13.20
自引率
7.80%
发文量
257
审稿时长
9.8 months
期刊介绍: Transportation Research: Part A contains papers of general interest in all passenger and freight transportation modes: policy analysis, formulation and evaluation; planning; interaction with the political, socioeconomic and physical environment; design, management and evaluation of transportation systems. Topics are approached from any discipline or perspective: economics, engineering, sociology, psychology, etc. Case studies, survey and expository papers are included, as are articles which contribute to unification of the field, or to an understanding of the comparative aspects of different systems. Papers which assess the scope for technological innovation within a social or political framework are also published. The journal is international, and places equal emphasis on the problems of industrialized and non-industrialized regions. Part A''s aims and scope are complementary to Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Part C: Emerging Technologies and Part D: Transport and Environment. Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour. The complete set forms the most cohesive and comprehensive reference of current research in transportation science.
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