空气污染和空气传播疾病:来自中国和日本的证据

IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-10 DOI:10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103117
Guojun He , Yuhang Pan , Takanao Tanaka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文估计了环境空气污染对两种经济成本最高的空气传播呼吸系统疾病(COVID-19和流感)的影响。我们的方法结合了流行病学易感-感染-康复-死亡(SIRD)模型来构建感兴趣的结果,工具变量(IV)模型来建立因果关系,灵活分布滞后(FDL)模型来捕捉动态效应。通过对中国第一波疫情数据的分析,我们发现空气污染可以显著提高COVID-19的日增长速度。相比之下,在日本,空气污染对流感患者就诊的影响很小,在统计上也不显著。
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Air pollution and the airborne diseases: Evidence from China and Japan
This paper estimates the impact of ambient air pollution on the two most economically costly airborne respiratory diseases, COVID-19 and influenza. Our methods incorporate the epidemiological Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased (SIRD) model to construct the outcome of interest, the Instrumental Variable (IV) model to establish causality, and the Flexible Distributed Lag (FDL) model to capture dynamic effects. Analyzing data from the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in China, we find that air pollution can significantly raise the daily growth rate of COVID-19. In contrast, air pollution shows small and statistically insignificant effects on influenza healthcare visits in Japan.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
4.30%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Economics and Management publishes theoretical and empirical papers devoted to specific natural resources and environmental issues. For consideration, papers should (1) contain a substantial element embodying the linkage between economic systems and environmental and natural resources systems or (2) be of substantial importance in understanding the management and/or social control of the economy in its relations with the natural environment. Although the general orientation of the journal is toward economics, interdisciplinary papers by researchers in other fields of interest to resource and environmental economists will be welcomed.
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