兰州市三种PM2.5暴露指标及其对呼吸系统疾病住院治疗影响的比较分析

IF 3.8 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Environmental Geochemistry and Health Pub Date : 2025-02-21 DOI:10.1007/s10653-025-02396-x
Qian Li, Yongqin Cao, Chunlan Li, Ke Xu, Xusong Zhang, Anning Zhu, Jingze Yu, Miaoxin Liu, Ye Ruan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

兰州地区PM2.5与总呼吸系统疾病(RD)的相关性研究较少。我们使用各种暴露指标调查了PM2.5对兰州市2015-2019年RD住院总人数的短期影响。我们收集了研究期间住院、每日空气污染物浓度和气象因素的数据。每日过量浓度小时数(DECH)是根据世界卫生组织的空气质量指南计算的。采用基于广义加性模型(GAM)的分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM),比较分析3个PM2.5暴露指标(DECH (DECH PM2.5)、日平均浓度(mean PM2.5)和小时峰值浓度(peak PM2.5))与RD住院率之间的关系。同时进行亚组分析和敏感性分析。我们发现使用DECH PM2.5和Mean PM2.5对RD住院的影响相似,但使用峰值PM2.5观察到的相关性相对较弱。累积滞后效应日益增强。亚组分析显示,女性和0-17岁的儿童更容易受到PM2.5污染,并且这种关联在寒冷季节得到增强。我们的研究强化了暴露于环境PM2.5会增加RD风险的证据。本研究再次验证了新指标的可靠性,并证实了DECH PM2.5对暴露-疾病的影响估计比Mean PM2.5更准确。
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A comparative analysis of three PM2.5 exposure metrics and their impact on respiratory disease hospitalizations in Lanzhou, China.

Research on the associations between PM2.5 and total respiratory diseases (RD) in Lanzhou is limited. We investigated the short-term impact of PM2.5 on total RD hospitalizations in Lanzhou (2015-2019) using various exposure metrics. We collected data on hospitalizations, daily air pollutant concentrations, and meteorological factors during the study period. Daily excessive concentration hours (DECH) were calculated according to the World Health Organization's air quality guidelines. A distributional lag nonlinear model (DLNM) based on a generalized additive model (GAM) was used to comparatively analyze the association between three PM2.5 exposure metrics (DECH (DECH PM2.5), daily mean concentration (Mean PM2.5), and hourly peak concentration (Peak PM2.5)) and RD hospitalizations. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed. We found similar effects on RD hospitalizations using DECH PM2.5 and Mean PM2.5, but relatively weak associations observed using Peak PM2.5. The cumulative lag effect increased daily. Subgroup analyses showed that females and children aged 0-17 years were more susceptible to PM2.5 pollution and that the association was enhanced during the cold season. Our research strengthened the evidence that exposure to ambient PM2.5 increases the risk of RD. This study revalidated the reliability of the new metrics and confirmed that DECH PM2.5 effect estimates for exposure-disease were more accurate than the Mean PM2.5.

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来源期刊
Environmental Geochemistry and Health
Environmental Geochemistry and Health 环境科学-工程:环境
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
4.80%
发文量
279
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Geochemistry and Health publishes original research papers and review papers across the broad field of environmental geochemistry. Environmental geochemistry and health establishes and explains links between the natural or disturbed chemical composition of the earth’s surface and the health of plants, animals and people. Beneficial elements regulate or promote enzymatic and hormonal activity whereas other elements may be toxic. Bedrock geochemistry controls the composition of soil and hence that of water and vegetation. Environmental issues, such as pollution, arising from the extraction and use of mineral resources, are discussed. The effects of contaminants introduced into the earth’s geochemical systems are examined. Geochemical surveys of soil, water and plants show how major and trace elements are distributed geographically. Associated epidemiological studies reveal the possibility of causal links between the natural or disturbed geochemical environment and disease. Experimental research illuminates the nature or consequences of natural or disturbed geochemical processes. The journal particularly welcomes novel research linking environmental geochemistry and health issues on such topics as: heavy metals (including mercury), persistent organic pollutants (POPs), and mixed chemicals emitted through human activities, such as uncontrolled recycling of electronic-waste; waste recycling; surface-atmospheric interaction processes (natural and anthropogenic emissions, vertical transport, deposition, and physical-chemical interaction) of gases and aerosols; phytoremediation/restoration of contaminated sites; food contamination and safety; environmental effects of medicines; effects and toxicity of mixed pollutants; speciation of heavy metals/metalloids; effects of mining; disturbed geochemistry from human behavior, natural or man-made hazards; particle and nanoparticle toxicology; risk and the vulnerability of populations, etc.
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