{"title":"A zonal asymmetry in boreal winter surface temperature trend and its recent reversal over the Northern Hemisphere continents","authors":"Ye-Jun Jun, Seok-Woo Son","doi":"10.1038/s41612-025-00963-8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>A zonally asymmetric surface temperature trend has been observed in the boreal winter over the Northern Hemisphere continents from the late 1980s to the late 2000s. While the cooling trend was pronounced over central Eurasia, the warming trend was evident over Northeastern North America and Greenland. However, such trends were suddenly reversed in the late 2000s. The surface energy budget reveals that the downward longwave radiation due to the Arctic Oscillation (AO)-related temperature and moisture advection was mostly responsible for such trends. While the sensible heat flux also contributed to the temperature trend over central Eurasia, other terms play a minor role. This result suggests that a zonally asymmetric temperature trend in boreal winter and its recent reversal in the Northern Hemisphere continents are largely driven by the internal climate variability, particularly the AO-related thermodynamic and dynamic processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":8.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-00963-8","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A zonal asymmetry in boreal winter surface temperature trend and its recent reversal over the Northern Hemisphere continents
A zonally asymmetric surface temperature trend has been observed in the boreal winter over the Northern Hemisphere continents from the late 1980s to the late 2000s. While the cooling trend was pronounced over central Eurasia, the warming trend was evident over Northeastern North America and Greenland. However, such trends were suddenly reversed in the late 2000s. The surface energy budget reveals that the downward longwave radiation due to the Arctic Oscillation (AO)-related temperature and moisture advection was mostly responsible for such trends. While the sensible heat flux also contributed to the temperature trend over central Eurasia, other terms play a minor role. This result suggests that a zonally asymmetric temperature trend in boreal winter and its recent reversal in the Northern Hemisphere continents are largely driven by the internal climate variability, particularly the AO-related thermodynamic and dynamic processes.
期刊介绍:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols.
The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.