供水与用水网络中多利益相关者合作策略及演化博弈分析

IF 5 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-25 DOI:10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102258
Junyan Gao , Liang Zheng , Shuangtong Li , Xiangtian Nie , Kexin Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究中国全国水网建设框架下的区域供水与用水合作。研究重点水网工程的发展可以显著缓解水资源短缺,提高区域水资源承载能力。通过这些网络供水的有效性和效率取决于多个利益相关者的合作,包括水源转移区、接收区和水网基础设施本身的运行。本研究结合中国目前水网建设和运营的实践,识别出三种典型的供水模式,并分析了利益相关者的行为策略。发展进化博弈模型,探索供水和用水合作的稳定进化路径。受水区的用水策略显著影响着三方博弈系统的稳定演化策略。供给侧竞争和需求侧竞争最终都会演变为水价竞争。企业的经营策略具有高度的不确定性,当企业拥有较强的议价能力时,供水价格上涨的概率较大。因此,价格调控措施对于保障社会福利至关重要。为防止需求方陷入价格竞争,建议在受水区之间建立相互用水谈判机制,上级政府部门对水资源的宏观配置进行干预。这些见解为协调区域用水需求、缓解供需矛盾、推进区域综合水价改革提供了有价值的指导。
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Analysis of water supply and usage cooperation strategies and evolutionary game among multiple stakeholders in water network

Study region

Cooperation in water supply and usage under the national water network construction framework in China.

Study focus

The development of water network projects can significantly alleviate water resource scarcity while enhancing the regional carrying capacity of water resources. The effectiveness and efficiency of water supply through these networks depend on the cooperation of multiple stakeholders, including water source transferring areas, receiving areas, and the operation of the water network infrastructure itself. This study integrates China’s current practices in water network construction and operation, identifies three typical water supply modes, and analyzes the behavioral strategies of stakeholders. Evolutionary game models are developed to explore the stable evolutionary pathways for cooperation in water supply and usage.

New hydrological insights for the region

The water usage strategies of water receiving areas significantly influence the stable evolution strategies of tripartite game system. Both supply-side competition and demand-side competition can ultimately evolve into water price competition. The business strategies of enterprises are highly uncertain, and when they possess strong bargaining power, there is a high probability of water supply price increases. Therefore, price regulation measures are essential to safeguard social welfare. To prevent the demand side from falling into price competition, it is recommended that mutual water usage negotiation mechanisms be established between water receiving areas, with higher-level government departments intervening in the macro-allocation of water resources. These insights provide valuable guidance for coordinating regional water demand, alleviating supply-demand contradictions, and reforming regional integrated water pricing.
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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies
Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies Earth and Planetary Sciences-Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
8.50%
发文量
284
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies publishes original research papers enhancing the science of hydrology and aiming at region-specific problems, past and future conditions, analysis, review and solutions. The journal particularly welcomes research papers that deliver new insights into region-specific hydrological processes and responses to changing conditions, as well as contributions that incorporate interdisciplinarity and translational science.
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