Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies最新文献

Attention in MLP: A new architecture for urban sewer overflow and flood depth prediction MLP的关注：城市下水道溢流和洪水深度预测的新架构

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.103088

Song-Yue Yang , Bing-Chen Jhong , Rui-Wen Lin , Ming-Chang Tsai

Study region

This research focuses on the vicinity of the A8 Metro Station in Guishan District, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, an area prone to frequent urban flooding. With storm sewer water level and surface flood depth data available, the region offers diverse rainfall conditions and topographical variations. This enables a thorough assessment of model performance for managing overflow risks and inundation.

Study focus

We propose an innovative Attentive Multilayer Perceptron (AM-MLP) architecture, comparing it against widely used sequence models (long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM)). We systematically evaluate sewer water level and flood depth forecasts to test whether attention mechanisms can compensate for MLP’s weak sequence handling. A unified experimental setup ensures fair baseline comparisons, highlighting each model’s strengths and weaknesses.

New hydrological insights for the region

This study provides valuable hydrological insights for the study area around the A8 Metro Station in Guishan District, Taoyuan City, Taiwan. The results demonstrate how the AM-MLP model improves urban flood and sewer overflow predictions in regions with limited or discontinuous data. The model’s ability to capture key hydrological factors, such as variations in rainfall and drainage system limitations, allows for more accurate flood depth and sewer water level forecasts. These insights contribute to better flood risk management and urban resilience planning in regions facing extreme rainfall events.

研究区域本研究以台湾桃园市桂山区A8地铁站附近为研究对象，该区域为城市洪涝频发区。随着雨水下水道水位和地表洪水深度数据的可用性，该地区提供了不同的降雨条件和地形变化。这使得对管理溢出风险和淹没的模型性能进行全面评估成为可能。我们提出了一种创新的关注多层感知器（AM-MLP）架构，并将其与广泛使用的序列模型（长短期记忆（LSTM），门控循环单元（GRU）和双向LSTM (BiLSTM)）进行了比较。我们系统地评估下水道水位和洪水深度预测，以测试注意力机制是否可以补偿MLP的弱序列处理。统一的实验设置确保公平的基线比较，突出每个模型的优点和缺点。本研究为台湾桃园市桂山区地铁A8站周边研究区提供了有价值的水文见解。结果表明，在数据有限或不连续的地区，AM-MLP模型如何改善城市洪水和下水道溢流预测。该模型能够捕捉关键的水文因素，如降雨变化和排水系统限制，从而可以更准确地预测洪水深度和下水道水位。这些见解有助于在面临极端降雨事件的地区更好地进行洪水风险管理和城市韧性规划。

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引用次数: 0

Integrated GIS-based multi-criteria approach for rainwater harvesting site selection in the Moulouya Basin, Morocco 基于gis的摩洛哥Moulouya流域雨水收集选址综合多准则方法

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103123

Amiri Mustapha , Qadem Zohair , Qadem Abdelghani , Ali Salem

Study region

Upper and middle Moulouya basin, Morocco

Study focus

In Morocco's Moulouya basin, recurrent droughts and rising temperatures have intensified the demand for surface water and the unsustainable exploitation of groundwater, particularly for agricultural purposes.This study aims to identify potential zones for rainwater harvesting (RWH) to reduce water shortages and improve water resource management in the upper and middle Moulouya basin. Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Remote sensing (RS) and WETSPASS model were integerted with Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Multi-Influencing Factor (MIF) methodologies to produce suitability maps for RWH sites.

New hydrogeological insights from the region

The results classified the study zones into five suitability classes: "unsuitable" to " very suitable", with around very suitable area 1588 km² and 2228 km² in MIF and AHP method respectively. The integrated models were validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and correlation coefficient, revealing area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.87 for AHP and 0.93 for MIF. The correlation coefficient was 0.79 and 0.77 in MIF and AHP, respectively, indicating moderate to high predictive accuracy, respectively. The findings of this study provide a valuable tool for decision-makers, hydrologists and planners to address water management challenges in the Moulouya basin. The integrated approaches are applicable for basins in other areas with similar hydrogical conditions particularly in regions prone to severe drought.

研究区域摩洛哥穆卢亚盆地中上游研究重点在摩洛哥穆卢亚盆地，经常性干旱和气温上升加剧了对地表水的需求和对地下水的不可持续开采，特别是用于农业目的。本研究旨在确定穆罗亚流域中上游地区潜在的雨水收集区，以减少水资源短缺和改善水资源管理。将地理信息系统（GIS）、遥感（RS）和WETSPASS模型与层次分析法（AHP）和多影响因子法（MIF）相结合，生成水源地选址适宜性图。结果将研究区划分为“不适宜”至“非常适宜”5个适宜级，MIF法和AHP法分别在非常适宜面积1588 km²和2228 km²左右。采用受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线和相关系数对综合模型进行验证，AHP和MIF的曲线下面积（AUC）分别为0.87和0.93。MIF和AHP的相关系数分别为0.79和0.77，预测准确率为中高。这项研究的发现为决策者、水文学家和规划者解决穆卢亚盆地的水管理挑战提供了一个有价值的工具。综合方法适用于具有类似水文条件的其他地区的流域，特别是容易发生严重干旱的地区。

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引用次数: 0

Analyzing historical snow trends in interior Alaska 分析阿拉斯加内陆的历史降雪趋势

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.103065

Anna M. Wagner , Katrina E. Bennett , Ross E. Alter , Elias J. Deeb , Nawa Raj Pradhan

Study region

The Chena River watershed in Interior Alaska, USA

Study focus

This study examines 40 years (water years 1982–2021) of snowpack characteristics to consider its hydrological implications in the 5350 km² Chena River basin. Using observations and a fine-scale physics model, we analyzed trends of snow water equivalent (SWE), snow onset and disappearance, and snow cover duration (SCD).

New hydrological insights for the region

Results indicate a decline in SWE across the modeled domain, averaging a decrease of 3 mm per decade, with larger decreases (up to 10 mm per decade) at lower elevations. While domain-averaged SWE trends were not statistically significant, observed SCD showed statistically significant decreases: −5.2, −5.0, and −4.4 days per decade at Teuchet Creek, Fairbanks F.O., and Little Chena Ridge, respectively. Notably, observations at SNOTEL stations and modeling revealed no statistically significant change in domain-averaged Rain-on-Snow (ROS) events over the 40-year period, contrasting some regional future estimates of increased ROS frequency. Peak streamflow did not consistently correlate with peak SWE levels, suggesting that other environmental factors such as ROS events and rapid temperature increases (e.g., a 10°C spike observed in 1992) are key drivers of hydrological outcomes. These findings improve understanding of complex subarctic hydrological processes impacting permafrost and highlight the need for adaptive water resource management to mitigate multi-factor risks like flooding and wildfire, requiring proactive planning.

本研究考察了40年（1982-2021年）的积雪特征，以考虑其在5350 km²的Chena河流域的水文意义。利用观测资料和精细尺度物理模型，分析了积雪水当量（SWE）、积雪起消和积雪持续时间（SCD）的变化趋势。结果表明，整个模拟区域的SWE下降，平均每十年减少3 毫米，在低海拔地区减少幅度更大（每十年减少10 毫米）。虽然区域平均SWE趋势在统计上不显著，但观测到的SCD在统计上显著减少：在Teuchet Creek， Fairbanks F.O和Little Chena Ridge分别为- 5.2,- 5.0和- 4.4天/ 10年。值得注意的是，SNOTEL站的观测和模型显示，40年来区域平均雨雪（ROS）事件在统计上没有显著变化，这与一些区域未来对ROS频率增加的估计形成了对比。峰值流量并不总是与峰值SWE水平相关，这表明其他环境因素，如ROS事件和快速温度升高（例如，1992年观测到的10°C峰值）是水文结果的关键驱动因素。这些发现提高了对影响永久冻土的复杂亚北极水文过程的理解，并强调了适应性水资源管理的必要性，以减轻洪水和野火等多因素风险，需要积极规划。

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引用次数: 0

Variation characteristics of water reserves in high mountains and surrounding areas in Arid Central Asia 中亚干旱区高山及周边地区水量变化特征

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103138

Bing Bai , Ping Yue , Xueyuan Ren , Qiang Zhang , Tiejun Zhang , Xin Zhang

Study region

Arid Central Asia.

Study focus

We investigated 2003–2021 trends in air temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration (ET) across Arid Central Asia and its high-mountain regions. Using terrestrial water storage derived from GRACE, we applied robust trend analysis and significance testing to quantify spatiotemporal variability at monthly, seasonal, and interannual scales. We further revealed contrasting terrestrial water storage responses in high-mountain areas and adjacent representative subregions under both co-directional and counter-directional changes in the climate driving and ecological vegetation regulation.

New hydrogeological insights from the region

This work provides new insights into the variability of terrestrial water storage anomalies across multiple time scales in arid Central Asia and in high elevation regions that function as inland water towers. We use terrestrial water storage derived from GRACE together with reanalysis products. Under regional warming, explanations of mountain terrestrial water storage that rely only on precipitation and evapotranspiration are insufficient, because abundant runoff from snow and glacier melt prevents a clean closure of surface and subsurface water budgets. GRACE offers an integrated, observation based measure of all water compartments and therefore adds a valuable large scale perspective. We find a marked decline of terrestrial water storage in the Tianshan Mountains of −11.13 cm/a, whereas the Kunlun and Qilian Mountains ranges show increases of 7.81 cm/a and 5.18 cm/a, respectively. A comparison of the Oases located in the Hexi Corridor and the Tarim Basin as defined in this study indicates that human activities do not always deplete water resources. With sound planning and effective institutions, well designed interventions can enhance watershed water retention and storage capacity.

研究区域：中亚干旱地区。研究重点研究了2003-2021年中亚干旱地区及其高山地区气温、降水和蒸散（ET）的 趋势。利用GRACE获取的陆地储水量，我们采用稳健趋势分析和显著性检验来量化月、季和年际尺度上的时空变异。进一步揭示了气候驱动和生态植被调控的同向和反向变化对高山区及其相邻代表性分区陆地储水量的影响。本研究为研究中亚干旱地区和具有内陆水塔功能的高海拔地区陆地蓄水异常在多个时间尺度上的变异性提供了新的见解。我们使用从GRACE获得的陆地储水和再分析产品。在区域变暖的情况下，仅依靠降水和蒸散发来解释山地陆地储水是不够的，因为来自雪和冰川融化的大量径流阻止了地表和地下水收支的完全封闭。GRACE提供了一个综合的、基于观测的所有水隔间测量，因此增加了一个有价值的大尺度视角。天山地区陆地储水量下降幅度明显，为- 11.13 cm/a，而昆仑山和祁连山地区陆地储水量分别增加了7.81 cm/a和5.18 cm/a。河西走廊绿洲与塔里木盆地绿洲的对比表明，人类活动并不总是消耗水资源。通过合理的规划和有效的制度，设计良好的干预措施可以增强流域的保水和蓄水能力。

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引用次数: 0

Spatio – temporal hydrological cycle characteristics in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River: A multi-source remote sensing and machine learning perspective 长江上游水文循环时空特征：多源遥感与机器学习视角

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103142

Yang Shi , Yousheng Zhang , Minglei Hou , Jiahua Wei

Study region

The upper reaches of the Yangtze River (URYR) of China

Study focus

This study investigates the spatio-temporal variations of hydrological cycle components in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River (URYR) from 1980 to 2030 using multi-source remote sensing data and machine learning. A long short-term memory network with an attention mechanism (LSTM-AT) is initially developed to predict exploitable water resources (EWR) in the URYR.

New hydrological insights for the region

Significant spatial and temporal variations are identified over the past four decades (1980–2015) and projected through 2030. Precipitation ranges from about 230 mm in the arid northwest to over 1600 mm in the humid southeast, with evapotranspiration varying from less than 100 mm at high altitudes to over 800 mm in low-lying areas. Runoff and terrestrial water storage exhibit similar spatial gradients, and runoff shows strong dependence on precipitation, particularly in the Min–Tuo River basin. LSTM-AT predictions suggest that the regional water balance remains dynamically stable, while EWR in the upper Jinsha River shows a fluctuating upward trend of 2.13 ± 0.87 mm/yr, underscoring the need for adaptive water resource management under ongoing environmental change. By leveraging an attention-based deep learning framework and interpretable feature-weight analysis, this work also provides new insight into the dominant hydro-climatic and human-regulation drivers shaping annual water availability in this highly regulated basin.

利用多源遥感数据和机器学习技术，研究了1980 - 2030年长江上游地区水循环成分的时空变化特征。初步建立了一个具有注意机制的长短期记忆网络（LSTM-AT）来预测长江流域的可开发水资源。在过去40年（1980-2015年）中发现了显著的时空变化，并预测了到2030年的变化。降水范围从干旱的西北约230 mm到潮湿的东南1600 mm以上，蒸散量从高海拔小于100 mm到低洼地区超过800 mm不等。径流与陆地储水量表现出相似的空间梯度，径流对降水的依赖性较强，特别是在岷沱河流域。LSTM-AT预测表明，区域水平衡保持动态稳定，而金沙江上游的EWR呈波动上升趋势（2.13 ± 0.87 mm/yr），表明在持续变化的环境下需要进行适应性水资源管理。通过利用基于注意力的深度学习框架和可解释的特征权重分析，这项工作还提供了新的见解，以了解在这个高度调节的盆地中，主要的水文气候和人类调节驱动因素对年可用水量的影响。

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引用次数: 0

Water level predictive control in cascaded canals based on the variation pattern analysis of integrator-delay model parameters 基于积分-延迟模型参数变化规律分析的级联水渠水位预测控制

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103139

Pengyu Jin , Chao Wang , Hao Wang , Zhao Zhang , Minghan Yang , Xiaonan Chen , Zhongzheng He

Study region

The Beijing-Shijiazhuang section of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (MRP), China.

Study focus

The integrator-delay (ID) model exhibits time-varying parameters, whose relationships with system state variables remain unexplored. However, traditional prediction relies on fixed parameters, resulting in a model–plant mismatch that generates parameter uncertainties and the accumulation of prediction errors, which degrades the performance of real-time control of water levels. This study investigates the variation patterns of the parameters by identifying system state-related influencing factors and quantifying their individual functional relationships via polynomial regression and correlation analysis, guiding key factors screening. Although these single-factor analyses provide insights into individual relationships, multi-factor interactions can alter such relationships. Hence, a dynamic parameter identification method using feedforward neural networks is proposed to address this issue; based on this, an adaptive-parameter model predictive controller is further developed.

New hydrological insights

Evaluation on a simulation model of the MRP indicates that using FFNNs for dynamic parameter identification reduces accumulated prediction errors by 43.15 %, improving the predictive accuracy of ID. Compared with traditional fixed-parameter MPC, control actions are reduced by 19.49 % (0.2 % increase under Disturbance 2) and 29.69 % in magnitude and frequency on average, and water level control effect is not significantly improved (enhancement: 0.81 % on average; paired t-test, P > 0.05, 95 % CI [-2.90 %, 4.45 %]). The proposed method reduces scheduling pressures in canal pools.

研究区域：南水北调中线工程北京-石家庄段。研究重点：积分-延迟（ID）模型具有时变参数，其与系统状态变量的关系尚未研究。然而，传统的预测依赖于固定的参数，导致模型与电厂不匹配，产生参数的不确定性和预测误差的累积，降低了水位实时控制的性能。本研究通过识别系统状态相关影响因素，并通过多项式回归和相关分析量化其个体功能关系，研究参数的变化规律，指导关键因素筛选。虽然这些单因素分析提供了对个人关系的见解，但多因素的相互作用可以改变这种关系。为此，提出了一种基于前馈神经网络的动态参数辨识方法；在此基础上，进一步开发了自适应参数模型预测控制器。对MRP模拟模型的评估表明，使用ffnn进行动态参数识别可将累计预测误差降低43.15% %，提高了ID的预测精度。与传统的固定参数MPC相比,控制行为减少了19.49 %(0.2 %增加扰动下2)和29.69 %的平均大小和频率,和水位控制效果不显著提高(增强:0.81 %平均;配对t检验,P 祝辞 0.05,95 % CI[-2.90 %,4.45 %])。该方法降低了渠池调度压力。

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引用次数: 0

Evaluating the impacts of green infrastructure on urban runoff attributes using detailed fine-scale hydrologic modeling 利用精细水文模型评估绿色基础设施对城市径流属性的影响

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103128

Meysam Kamali , Husnain Tansar , Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf , Nasrin Alamdari

Study region

Hillsborough Watershed (374 km²) in Midwest Florida.

Study focus

Green infrastructures (GIs) are implemented in urban areas to restore natural hydrology. Past studies have evaluated the performance of GIs for runoff reduction, but detailed fine-scale models have been rarely applied. Here, we evaluated the performance of GIs at two scales—fine-scale (3800 subwatersheds) and full watershed—under various rainfall intensities (2- to 200-yr) using Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Six GI scenarios—individual (bioretention [BR], grassed swale [GS], green roof [GR], rain barrel [RB], cistern [CS] and infiltration trench [IT]), suitability-based (maximum one GI in each subwatershed) and combined—were evaluated considering ∼18,000 hydraulic structures ("detailed" component of our modeing).

New hydrological insights for the region

With 26.8–29.1 % reduction of runoff volume and 78.6–82.4 % of peak, IT showed the best performance at the fine-scale under the 5-yr rainfall event. A combination of BR, GS, IT and CS outperformed the individual GI scenarios in reducing runoff volume (up to 78.6 %). Subwatersheds with larger imperviousness benefited most from BR, RB, CS and IT in terms of runoff volume reductions because of the higher retrofit rate. The efficiency of GR for delaying time-to-peak was less in more intense rainfall events. Our comparisons showed that fine-scale modeling revealed subwatersheds with disproportionately high or low GI effectiveness, which were masked in the coarse-scale full watershed model.

研究区域：佛罗里达州中西部希尔斯伯勒流域（374 km2）。研究重点在市区实施绿色基础设施，以恢复自然水文。过去的研究已经评估了地理信息系统减少径流的性能，但很少应用详细的精细尺度模型。本文利用暴雨水管理模型（SWMM）对GIs在不同降雨强度（2- 200年）下的两个尺度（精细尺度（3800个子流域）和全流域）的性能进行了评估。考虑到约18,000个水轮机（我们建模的“详细”部分），我们评估了6个GI情景——单个情景（生物滞留[BR]、草地[GS]、绿色屋顶[GR]、雨桶[RB]、蓄水池[CS]和入渗沟[IT]）、基于适用性（每个子流域最多一个GI）和综合情景。在5年降雨事件下，IT在精细尺度上表现最佳，径流量减少26.8-29.1 %，峰值减少78.6-82.4 %。BR、GS、IT和CS的组合在减少径流量方面优于单个GI方案（高达78.6% %）。由于改造率较高，不透水性较大的流域从BR、RB、CS和IT中获得的径流量减少最多。在较强降雨条件下，GR延迟峰值时间的效率较低。我们的比较表明，精细尺度模型揭示了不同比例的高GI效率或低GI效率的子流域，而这些在粗尺度全流域模型中被掩盖了。

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引用次数: 0

Interactive driven force analysis of blue and green water for Yalong River Basin of southwest China based on a hybrid modeling approach 基于混合建模方法的西南雅砻江流域蓝绿水交互驱动力分析

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103133

Yanan Liang , Yanpeng Cai , Junjie Niu , Xuan Wang

Study region

Yalong River Basin, southwest China

Study focus

Hydrological cycle has been affected by environmental changes, leading to serious freshwater crisis. In this research, hydrological modeling along with detrend techniques were advanced to address the blue and green water components responses to climate change and anthropogenic disturbances.

New hydrological insights for the region

Blue and green water exhibited upward trends from 1967 to 2017. In two studying periods (P1: 1981–1996; P2: 1997–2017), land use/land cover change exerted a slight effect of −2–2 mm variation in blue and green water in most subbasins. Climate change exhibited the dominant role in hydrological variations, in which the contribution of precipitation was the highest for blue and green water storage and temperature for green water flow. Rising precipitation led to an increase in blue water of overall 5–25 mm in P1 and 25–80 mm in P2. Rising temperatures caused increased green water flow, from 0–15 mm in P1 to 2–30 mm in P2. From P1 to P2, climate change’s effect on green water storage showed a negative trend in certain subbasins due to intensified warming. Spatially, regulated by catchment distributions and land cover types, the responses of blue water and green water storage to climate change presented higher heterogeneity than green water flow. This study illustrates how interactive factors modulate blue water availability and ecological water requirements in heterogeneous environments.

研究区域——西南沿江流域研究重点水文循环受到环境变化的影响，导致严重的淡水危机。在本研究中，提出了水文模型和趋势技术来解决蓝绿水组分对气候变化和人为干扰的响应。从1967年到2017年，蓝水和绿水呈上升趋势。在P1: 1981—1996年；P2: 1997—2017年两个研究期，大部分子流域的土地利用/土地覆被变化对蓝水和绿水产生了−2—2 mm的轻微影响。气候变化在水文变化中发挥主导作用，其中降水对蓝绿水储量的贡献最大，温度对绿水流量的贡献最大。降水增加导致P1蓝水总体增加5 ~ 25 mm， P2蓝水总体增加25 ~ 80 mm。温度升高导致绿水流量增加，从P1的0-15毫米增加到P2的2-30毫米。从P1到P2，气候变化对绿水储存量的影响在某些子流域由于升温加剧而呈负向变化趋势。在空间上，受流域分布和土地覆盖类型的调节，蓝水和绿水储量对气候变化的响应比绿水流量具有更高的异质性。本研究阐明了在异质环境中，交互因素如何调节蓝水可用性和生态用水需求。

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引用次数: 0

Flood sedimentation dynamics in dam-regulated river channels: A case study of the Lower Yellow River 坝控河道的洪水沉积动力学——以黄河下游为例

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103136

Xueqin Zhang , He Qing Huang , Yong Li , Chunjin Zhang , Min Zhang

Study region

The Lower Yellow River (LYR), China.

Study focus

The construction and operation of large dams can significantly alter runoff and sediment transport processes in downstream river channels, resulting in long-term and long-distance adjustments in river sedimentation. Since the Xiaolangdi Reservoir began impoundment in late 1999, the runoff and sediment transport processes in the LYR have experienced significant changes. To comprehend the response of sedimentation in the LYR to the reservoir’s operation, this study provides a detailed analysis of the spatiotemporal variations in sedimentation and examines the effects of 159 floods released from the Xiaolangdi Reservoir during 2000–2023.

New hydrological insights for the region

The LYR reached dynamic equilibrium following a long period of erosion, the magnitude of channel erosion increased rapidly from 2000 to 2004, then gradually decreased from 2004 to 2017. Floods were categorized into three types based on average sediment concentration (S_av), which varied under different reservoir regulation modes. During 2000–2023, the low (S_av<1 kg/m³) and medium (1 ≤S_av≤10 kg/m³) sediment concentration floods yielded erosion, while the high sediment concentration floods (S_av>10 kg/m³) caused either aggradation or erosion. For a stable dynamic equilibrium (both erosion and aggradation are minor) to be maintained in the LYR, it is recommended that the sediment concentration of floods released from the Xiaolangdi Reservoir be kept below 40 kg/m³.

研究区域：中国黄河下游。研究重点大型水坝的建设和运行可以显著改变下游河道的径流和输沙过程，从而对河流的沉积产生长期和远距离的调节。自1999年底小浪底水库蓄水以来，三峡库区径流输沙过程发生了显著变化。为了解三峡库区泥沙淤积对水库运行的响应，本文详细分析了三峡库区泥沙淤积的时空变化特征，并考察了2000-2023年小浪底水库159次放水对三峡库区的影响。经过长时间的侵蚀，LYR达到了动态平衡，2000 - 2004年河道侵蚀幅度快速增加，2004 - 2017年逐渐减小。根据平均含沙量（Sav）将洪水分为三种类型，不同的水库调节模式下，平均含沙量有所不同。2000-2023年，低含沙量（Sav>1 kg/m3）和中含沙量（1 ≤Sav≤10 kg/m3）洪水发生侵蚀，高含沙量（Sav>10 kg/m3）洪水发生淤积或侵蚀。为使三峡库区保持稳定的动态平衡（侵蚀和淤积均较小），建议将小浪底水库泄洪泥沙浓度控制在40 kg/m3以下。

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引用次数: 0

Advancing river management under dam regulation: Insights from the Yellow River 在大坝管理下推进河流管理：来自黄河的启示

IF 5 2区地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES

Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies

Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103134

Deyao Tu , Houjie Wang , Naishuang Bi , Xiao Wu , Aimei Wang , Fukang Qi , Yanguang Dou , Yupeng Ren

Study region

Yellow River, China

Study focus

River deltas delivering immense economic value and ecosystem services. However, sediment starvation is accelerating land loss and shoreline retreat across worldwide mega-river deltas driven by climate stressors and human interventions. The Yellow River Delta (YRD) exemplifies these challenges. Implementation of the Water–Sediment Regulation Scheme (WSRS) in 2002 initially restored delta progradation, as reservoir releases and channel erosion increased sediment delivery before 2014. The study evaluated the effectiveness of the WSRS over the past two decades from multiple perspectives and explored an optimized regulation using a 3D numerical model.

New hydrological insights

The WSRS has undergone a profound mechanistic shift. A high-efficiency phase (before 2014) has transitioned to a constrained phase (after 2018), marked by severe reservoir siltation, downstream channel armoring and limited delta progradation. The reduced delta progradation rate was controlled by multiple factors: a diminished supply of coarse sediment from the lower channel; intensified tidal currents due to the continuously protruding shoreline; an increased sediment coefficient promoting offshore dispersal; and more frequent typhoon events enhancing sediment redistribution. The river regime has transitioned from a natural to an anthropogenically controlled state, where reservoir operations dictate the water-sediment regime. Optimizing the reservoir regulation based on realistic conditions presents a significant opportunity to enhance the sediment trapping capacity of the delta, thereby promoting the sustainable development of the river-dominated delta.

研究区域：中国黄河研究重点：提供巨大经济价值和生态系统服务的河流三角洲。然而，在气候压力和人类干预的推动下，沉积物匮乏正在加速全球大型河流三角洲的土地流失和海岸线退缩。黄河三角洲（YRD）就是这些挑战的例证。2002年实施的水沙调节计划（WSRS）最初恢复了三角洲的淤积，因为在2014年之前，水库的释放和河道的侵蚀增加了泥沙的输送。该研究从多个角度评估了过去20年wrs的有效性，并利用3D数值模型探索了优化的调节方法。新的水文见解WSRS已经经历了深刻的机制转变。高效阶段（2014年之前）已经过渡到受限阶段（2018年之后），其特征是严重的水库淤积、下游河道盔甲化和有限的三角洲淤积。三角洲进积速率降低受多种因素控制：下游河道粗沙供给减少；海岸线不断凸出，潮汐流加剧；增加的泥沙系数促进近海扩散；更频繁的台风事件加强了沉积物的再分配。河流状态已经从自然状态过渡到人为控制状态，水库运行决定了水-沉积物状态。从实际出发，优化水库调控，为增强三角洲的集沙能力，促进河控三角洲的可持续发展提供了重要机遇。

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引用次数: 0