使用各种机器学习预测比特币价格:数据驱动营销的系统回顾

Payam Boozary, Sogand Sheykhan, Hamed GhorbanTanhaei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

比特币作为一种开创性的加密货币的出现改变了金融市场,引起了学者、政策制定者和投资者的广泛兴趣。尽管比特币潜力巨大,但市场固有的波动性和将公共信息快速整合到价格变动中,仍然给准确预测比特币价格带来了巨大挑战。传统金融模型经常需要考虑加密货币的独特属性,其局限性进一步加剧了这一挑战。尽管机器学习在各个领域的扩散,现有的模型并没有完全利用这些技术,由于加密货币市场的高波动性和复杂动态带来的独特挑战,它们的表现只比随机猜测好一点点。本研究对专门为比特币价格预测量身定制的机器学习方法进行了系统回顾,重点是评估长短期记忆(LSTM)网络等高级机器学习技术的鲁棒性、准确性和适当性。新颖之处在于它在数据驱动营销的背景下对这些方法进行了全面评估,旨在加强对金融技术的学术理解和实际应用。机器学习(ML)已经成为一种强大的工具,有可能提高预测的准确性;然而,对于这个领域中最有效的机器学习模型,仍然需要更多的理解。这项研究的重要性在于,它系统地研究了用于预测比特币价格的各种机器学习(ML)技术,特别强调了它们与数据驱动的营销策略的整合。研究结果将极大地促进学术研究和实际应用,提供有价值的见解,可用于开发更可靠的预测工具,从而使投资者、营销人员和决策者受益。
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Forecasting the Bitcoin price using the various Machine Learning: A systematic review in data-driven marketing
The emergence of Bitcoin as a pioneering cryptocurrency has transformed financial markets, garnering widespread interest from academicians, policymakers, and investors. The market's inherent volatility and the rapid integration of public information into price movements continue to present a formidable challenge in accurately forecasting Bitcoin prices despite its potential. The limitations of conventional financial models, which frequently need to consider the distinctive attributes of cryptocurrencies, further exacerbate this challenge. Despite the proliferation of ML in various fields, existing models have not fully harnessed these techniques, performing only marginally better than random guesses due to the unique challenges posed by the high volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets. This study introduces a systematic review of ML methods specifically tailored for Bitcoin price prediction, with a focus on evaluating the robustness, accuracy, and appropriateness of advanced ML techniques like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The novelty lies in its comprehensive assessment of these methods in the context of data-driven marketing, aiming to enhance both academic understanding and practical applications in financial technology. The previous studies haven't Machine Learning (ML) has become a formidable instrument that has the potential to improve the accuracy of forecasting; however, there still needs to be more comprehension regarding the most effective ML models in this field. The study's importance is derived from its systematic examination of various machine learning (ML) techniques employed to predict the price of Bitcoin, with a particular emphasis on their integration into data-driven marketing strategies. The results will substantially contribute to both academic research and practical applications, providing valuable insights that can be used to develop more dependable forecasting tools, thereby benefiting investors, marketers, and policymakers.
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