过程工业中使用LMAW和DNMA技术的多米诺骨牌事故分析方法的比较评估

IF 13.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Reliability Engineering & System Safety Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-28 DOI:10.1016/j.ress.2025.110981
Sarbast Moslem , Kamran Gholamizadeh , Esmaeil Zarei , Hans J Pasman , Beatriz Martinez-Pastor , Francesco Pilla
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引用次数: 0

摘要

调查过程工业中的多米诺骨牌事件对于提高安全性和防止具有潜在严重后果的级联故障至关重要。对现有事故调查方法的审查强调需要适当的标准和方法,以确保全面分析,从而有效预防。本研究通过评估、比较和排名各种调查方法的有效性来解决这一需求。备选方案的排序技术多种多样,并呈现出稳定的改进趋势。本研究运用最新的加性权值的对数方法(LMAW)为相关标准分配重要性权重。然后利用基于双归一化的多重聚合(DNMA)技术对方法进行评估和排序。基于比较和敏感性分析,这种双重方法确保了事故分析中使用的方法的可靠和客观的评估。在专家判断的基础上,适用性、准确性和全面性被赋予了最高的权重。在评估的方法中,AcciMap是最有效的,在事故分析的各个方面表现优异,其次是CAST和FRAM。AcciMap获得了最高的排名,显示出最高的整体效率。研究结果可为过程工业事故分析方法的选择提供指导,为管理人员和安全从业人员提供帮助。通过利用这些见解,组织可以对调查多米诺骨牌事件的最合适方法做出明智的决策,从而改进安全措施和响应策略。
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A comparative assessment of domino accident analysis methods in process industries using LMAW and DNMA techniques
Investigating domino incidents in process industries is critical for enhancing safety and preventing cascading failures with potentially severe consequences. A review of existing accident investigative methods underscores the need for appropriate criteria and methodologies, ensuring comprehensive analysis, and thus effective prevention possibility. This study addresses this need by evaluating, comparing, and ranking the effectiveness of various investigative methods. Ranking techniques of alternatives are many and show a steady improvement trend. This research applies the latest: the Logarithmic Methodology of Additive Weights (LMAW) to assign importance weights to relevant criteria. It then utilizes the Double Normalization-Based Multiple Aggregation (DNMA) technique to evaluate and rank the methods. Based on comparisons and sensitivity analysis this dual approach ensures a robust and objective assessment of the methods used in accident analysis. The criteria of applicability, accuracy, and comprehensiveness were given the highest weights based on expert judgments. AcciMap emerged as the most effective among the methods assessed, demonstrating superior performance in various aspects of accident analysis, followed by CAST and FRAM. AcciMap achieved the top ranking, exhibiting the highest overall effectiveness. These findings offer guidance for selecting accident analysis methods, aiding managers and safety practitioners in process industries. By leveraging these insights, organizations can make informed decisions on the most suitable methods for investigating domino incidents, thereby improving safety measures and response strategies.
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来源期刊
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
15.20
自引率
39.50%
发文量
621
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.
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