中国智慧农业规模测算与经济效益评价

IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.seps.2025.102195
Shaohua Zhang , Rentao Chen , Jian Wu , Ning Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用投入产出分析法对智慧农业的增值规模进行评估,重点关注产业联系和最终需求。结果显示,智慧农业占中国农业部门的5.58 %,仅占GDP的0.47 %。尽管与传统农业相比,智慧农业的附加值贡献仍然不大,但它与数字工业化部门的融合程度很高,对其他产业投入或需求增长的依赖程度较低。在最终需求方面,敏感性分析表明,智慧农业是消费依赖型产业;然而,与各种最终需求相关的智慧农业的推广仍然有限,最终需求的扩大主要受益于传统农业。自2012年以来,产业结构转型一直是智慧农业发展的关键驱动力。2012年至2020年间,中间产品和最终需求结构的变化共同推动智慧农业规模增长了44.9% %。
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Scale measurement and economic effect evaluation of smart agriculture in China
In this paper, input‒output analysis is applied to assess the value-added scale of smart agriculture, with an emphasis on industrial linkages and final demand. The results reveal that smart agriculture constitutes 5.58 % of the agricultural sector and only 0.47 % of GDP in China. Although the value-added contribution of smart agriculture remains modest in comparison with that of traditional agriculture, it demonstrates strong integration with digital industrialization sectors and low dependency on inputs or demand growth from other industries. In terms of final demand, sensitivity analysis shows that smart agriculture is a consumption-dependent industry; however, the promotion of smart agriculture associated with various final demands remains limited, with the expansion of final demand predominantly benefiting traditional agriculture. The transformation of the industrial structure has been a key driver of the growth of smart agriculture since 2012. Between 2012 and 2020, changes in the structure of intermediate goods and final demand collectively contributed to a 44.9 % increase in the scale of smart agriculture.
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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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