藻类作为生物燃料生产的生物质来源的潜力:MLR与ANN模型分析

IF 7.5 1区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Fuel Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-26 DOI:10.1016/j.fuel.2025.134853
Wendell de Queiróz Lamas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

藻类因其生长速度快、脂肪含量高而成为一种可持续的生物燃料来源。对可再生能源日益增长的需求凸显出需要精确的预测模型来优化生物燃料生产。本研究假设人工神经网络(ann)在预测藻类生物量的低热值(LHV)和产气量方面优于多元线性回归(MLR)。该方法将元素分析与统计和机器学习模型相结合,以估计LHV和天然气产量,并比较人工神经网络和MLR的性能。结果表明,ANN模型具有更高的预测精度,能够捕捉复杂的非线性关系,LHV预测值为20.31 MJ/kg,而MLR模型的LHV预测值为19.55 MJ/kg。这些发现表明,尽管计算成本较高,但人工神经网络模型在能源预测方面提供了更高的可靠性。结论是,虽然人工神经网络提供了更高的准确性,但由于其效率和可解释性,MLR在更简单的应用中仍然有用。
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Algae’s potential as a bio-mass source for bio-fuel production: MLR vs. ANN models analyses
Algae have gained significant attention as a sustainable bio-mass source for bio-fuel production due to their rapid growth rate and high lipid content. The increasing demand for renewable energy sources highlights the need for accurate predictive models to optimise bio-fuel production. This study hypothesises that artificial neural networks (ANNs) outperform multiple linear regression (MLR) in predicting the lower heating value (LHV) and gas yields of algae bio-mass. The methodology integrates elemental analysis with statistical and machine learning models to estimate LHV and gas yields, comparing the performance of ANN and MLR. Results indicate that ANN models provide higher predictive accuracy, capturing complex non-linear relationships, with an LHV prediction of 20.31 MJ/kg compared to 19.55 MJ/kg from MLR. These findings suggest that ANN models offer greater reliability in energy prediction, though at a higher computational cost. It is concluded that while ANN provides superior accuracy, MLR remains useful for simpler applications due to its efficiency and interpretability.
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来源期刊
Fuel
Fuel 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
20.30%
发文量
3506
审稿时长
64 days
期刊介绍: The exploration of energy sources remains a critical matter of study. For the past nine decades, fuel has consistently held the forefront in primary research efforts within the field of energy science. This area of investigation encompasses a wide range of subjects, with a particular emphasis on emerging concerns like environmental factors and pollution.
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