比利时对COVID-19超额死亡的变化点检测。

IF 1.6 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-03-06 DOI:10.1007/s12546-021-09256-2
Han Lin Shang, Ruofan Xu
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引用次数: 5

摘要

2019年底出现的COVID-19已成为全球人民的公共卫生威胁。除了COVID-19检测呈阳性死亡外,还有许多人死于与COVID-19间接相关的原因。因此,新冠肺炎确诊死亡人数低估了疫情对社会的影响;相反,“超额死亡”的衡量是评估疫情规模和制定教训的一种更客观和可比较的方法。在分析COVID-19的影响时,一个常见的实际问题是确定“COVID-19前”和“COVID-19后”时期。我们采用变化点检测方法来确定使用比利时超额死亡的任何变化点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Change point detection for COVID-19 excess deaths in Belgium.

Emerging at the end of 2019, COVID-19 has become a public health threat to people worldwide. Apart from deaths with a positive COVID-19 test, many others have died from causes indirectly related to COVID-19. Therefore, the COVID-19 confirmed deaths underestimate the influence of the pandemic on society; instead, the measure of 'excess deaths' is a more objective and comparable way to assess the scale of the epidemic and formulate lessons. One common practical issue in analysing the impact of COVID-19 is to determine the 'pre-COVID-19' period and the 'post-COVID-19' period. We apply a change point detection method to identify any change points using excess deaths in Belgium.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Research is a peer-reviewed, international journal which publishes papers on demography and population-related issues. Coverage is not restricted geographically. The Journal publishes substantive empirical analyses, theoretical works, applied research and contributions to methodology. Submissions may take the form of original research papers, perspectives, review articles and shorter technical research notes. Special issues emanating from conferences and other meetings are also considered.
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