{"title":"乙型肝炎传播动态的分类及敏感性分析。","authors":"Tahir Khan, Il Hyo Jung, Amir Khan, Gul Zaman","doi":"10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatitis B infection caused by the hepatitis B virus is one of the most serious viral infections and a global health problem. In the transmission of hepatitis B infection, three different phases, i.e. acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals, play important roles. Carrier individuals are especially significant, because they do not exhibit any symptoms and are able to transmit the infection. Here we assessed the transmissibility associated with different infection stages of hepatitis B and generated an epidemic model.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>To demonstrate the transmission dynamic of hepatitis B, we investigate an epidemic model by dividing the infectious class into three subclasses, namely acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals with both horizontal and vertical transmission.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Numerical results and sensitivity analysis of some important parameters are presented to show that the proportion of births without successful vaccination, perinatally infected individuals, and direct contact rate are highest risk factors for the spread of hepatitis B in the community.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our work provides a coherent platform for studying the full dynamics of hepatitis B and an effective direction for theoretical work.</p>","PeriodicalId":51195,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Classification and sensitivity analysis of the transmission dynamic of hepatitis B.\",\"authors\":\"Tahir Khan, Il Hyo Jung, Amir Khan, Gul Zaman\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatitis B infection caused by the hepatitis B virus is one of the most serious viral infections and a global health problem. In the transmission of hepatitis B infection, three different phases, i.e. acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals, play important roles. Carrier individuals are especially significant, because they do not exhibit any symptoms and are able to transmit the infection. Here we assessed the transmissibility associated with different infection stages of hepatitis B and generated an epidemic model.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>To demonstrate the transmission dynamic of hepatitis B, we investigate an epidemic model by dividing the infectious class into three subclasses, namely acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals with both horizontal and vertical transmission.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Numerical results and sensitivity analysis of some important parameters are presented to show that the proportion of births without successful vaccination, perinatally infected individuals, and direct contact rate are highest risk factors for the spread of hepatitis B in the community.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our work provides a coherent platform for studying the full dynamics of hepatitis B and an effective direction for theoretical work.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51195,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-12-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12976-017-0068-3","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
Classification and sensitivity analysis of the transmission dynamic of hepatitis B.
Background: Hepatitis B infection caused by the hepatitis B virus is one of the most serious viral infections and a global health problem. In the transmission of hepatitis B infection, three different phases, i.e. acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals, play important roles. Carrier individuals are especially significant, because they do not exhibit any symptoms and are able to transmit the infection. Here we assessed the transmissibility associated with different infection stages of hepatitis B and generated an epidemic model.
Methods: To demonstrate the transmission dynamic of hepatitis B, we investigate an epidemic model by dividing the infectious class into three subclasses, namely acute infected, chronically infected, and carrier individuals with both horizontal and vertical transmission.
Results: Numerical results and sensitivity analysis of some important parameters are presented to show that the proportion of births without successful vaccination, perinatally infected individuals, and direct contact rate are highest risk factors for the spread of hepatitis B in the community.
Conclusion: Our work provides a coherent platform for studying the full dynamics of hepatitis B and an effective direction for theoretical work.
期刊介绍:
Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling is an open access peer-reviewed journal adopting a broad definition of "biology" and focusing on theoretical ideas and models associated with developments in biology and medicine. Mathematicians, biologists and clinicians of various specialisms, philosophers and historians of science are all contributing to the emergence of novel concepts in an age of systems biology, bioinformatics and computer modelling. This is the field in which Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling operates. We welcome submissions that are technically sound and offering either improved understanding in biology and medicine or progress in theory or method.