交配不均匀的伊蚊抑制动力学建模。

IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Journal of Biological Dynamics Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI:10.1080/17513758.2020.1799083
Mugen Huang, Linchao Hu
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引用次数: 3

摘要

控制蚊媒疾病(如登革热、疟疾和寨卡病毒)的一种新策略是释放感染沃尔巴克氏体的蚊子,因为当感染沃尔巴克氏体的雄性蚊子与未感染的雌性蚊子交配时,沃尔巴克氏体会导致早期胚胎死亡。本文引入一个考虑交配不均匀性的时滞微分方程模型,讨论了沃尔巴克氏体对蚊子种群的抑制作用。我们的分析表明,如果成虫死亡率超过阈值[公式:见文]或释放量均匀超过阈值[公式:见文],就可以消灭野生蚊子。我们还分别给出了[公式:见文]和[公式:见文]对这些参数的非线性依赖关系,以及农药喷洒对野蚊的影响。我们的模拟表明,考虑到释放量和抑制速度,释放应至少在登革热高发季节前5周开始。
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Modeling the suppression dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes with mating inhomogeneity.

A novel strategy for controlling mosquito-borne diseases, such as dengue, malaria and Zika, involves releases of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes as Wolbachia cause early embryo death when an infected male mates with an uninfected female. In this work, we introduce a delay differential equation model with mating inhomogeneity to discuss mosquito population suppression based on Wolbachia. Our analyses show that the wild mosquitoes could be eliminated if either the adult mortality rate exceeds the threshold [Formula: see text] or the release amount exceeds the threshold [Formula: see text] uniformly. We also present the nonlinear dependence of [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] on the parameters, respectively, as well as the effect of pesticide spraying on wild mosquitoes. Our simulations suggest that the releasing should be started at least 5 weeks before the peak dengue season, taking into account both the release amount and the suppression speed.

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来源期刊
Journal of Biological Dynamics
Journal of Biological Dynamics ECOLOGY-MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
3.60%
发文量
28
审稿时长
33 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Biological Dynamics, an open access journal, publishes state of the art papers dealing with the analysis of dynamic models that arise from biological processes. The Journal focuses on dynamic phenomena at scales ranging from the level of individual organisms to that of populations, communities, and ecosystems in the fields of ecology and evolutionary biology, population dynamics, epidemiology, immunology, neuroscience, environmental science, and animal behavior. Papers in other areas are acceptable at the editors’ discretion. In addition to papers that analyze original mathematical models and develop new theories and analytic methods, the Journal welcomes papers that connect mathematical modeling and analysis to experimental and observational data. The Journal also publishes short notes, expository and review articles, book reviews and a section on open problems.
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