古巴的COVID-19:评估国家应对措施。

IF 1.8 4区 医学 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Medicc Review Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI:10.37757/MR2020.V22.N4.5
Enrique Galbán-García, Pedro Más-Bermejo
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引用次数: 10

摘要

COVID-19大流行在每个国家表现出不同的特征,这与SARS-CoV-2在当地传播的程度以及当局实施流行病应对的速度和有效性有关。本研究对古巴自2020年3月11日首次确诊病例后的头110天内COVID-19确诊病例和死亡病例的每日和累积发病率进行了描述性流行病学分析。在此期间,确诊病例2340例(20.7 × 10万人),其中死亡86例(病死率3.67%;52名男性和34名女性)。死者的平均年龄为73.6岁(最低为35岁,最高为101岁),男性的平均年龄低于女性。70%以上的死者患有相关的非传染性疾病。发病率曲线上升5周后稳定下降。上周(2020年6月23日至28日)的平均确诊病例数和死亡人数分别为25例和1例;曲线始终在现有数学模型的最有利预测区内移动,有效繁殖数在疫情发生后第5周后降至1以下。
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COVID-19 in Cuba: Assessing the National Response.

The COVID-19 pandemic exhibits different characteristics in each country, related to the extent of SARS-CoV-2 local transmission, as well as the speed and effectiveness of epidemic response implemented by authorities. This study presents a descriptive epidemiological analysis of the daily and cumulative incidence of confi rmed cases and deaths in Cuba from COVID-19 in the fi rst 110 days after fi rst-case confi rmation on March 11, 2020. During this period, 2340 cases (20.7 x 100,000 population) were confi rmed, of which 86 patients died (case fatality 3.67%; 52 men and 34 women). Mean age of the deceased was 73.6 years (with a minimum of 35 years and a maximum of 101), with the average age of men lower than that of women. More than 70% of all deceased had associated noncommunicable diseases. The incidence curve ascended for fi ve weeks and then descended steadily. The average number of confi rmed cases and deaths for the last week included (June 23-28, 2020) were 25 and 1 respectively; the curve always moved within the most favorable forecast zone of available mathematical models and the effective reproductive number fell below 1 after the fi fth week following the onset of the epidemic.

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来源期刊
Medicc Review
Medicc Review PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
9.50%
发文量
49
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Uphold the highest standards of ethics and excellence, publishing open-access articles in English relevant to global health equity that offer the best of medical, population health and social sciences research and perspectives by Cuban and other developing-country professionals.
期刊最新文献
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