{"title":"详尽回顾和分析统计预测在医院急诊科的应用。","authors":"Muhammet Gul, Erkan Celik","doi":"10.1080/20476965.2018.1547348","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Emergency departments (EDs) provide medical treatment for a broad spectrum of illnesses and injuries to patients who arrive at all hours of the day. The quality and efficient delivery of health care in EDs are associated with a number of factors, such as patient overall length of stay (LOS) and admission, prompt ambulance diversion, quick and accurate triage, nurse and physician assessment, diagnostic and laboratory services, consultations and treatment. One of the most important ways to plan the healthcare delivery efficiently is to make forecasts of ED processes. The aim this study is thus to provide an exhaustive review for ED stakeholders interested in applying forecasting methods to their ED processes. A categorisation, analysis and interpretation of 102 papers is performed for review. This exhaustive review provides an insight for researchers and practitioners about forecasting in EDs in terms of showing current state and potential areas for future attempts.</p>","PeriodicalId":44699,"journal":{"name":"Health Systems","volume":"9 4","pages":"263-284"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2018-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7738299/pdf/THSS_9_1547348.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"An exhaustive review and analysis on applications of statistical forecasting in hospital emergency departments.\",\"authors\":\"Muhammet Gul, Erkan Celik\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/20476965.2018.1547348\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Emergency departments (EDs) provide medical treatment for a broad spectrum of illnesses and injuries to patients who arrive at all hours of the day. The quality and efficient delivery of health care in EDs are associated with a number of factors, such as patient overall length of stay (LOS) and admission, prompt ambulance diversion, quick and accurate triage, nurse and physician assessment, diagnostic and laboratory services, consultations and treatment. One of the most important ways to plan the healthcare delivery efficiently is to make forecasts of ED processes. The aim this study is thus to provide an exhaustive review for ED stakeholders interested in applying forecasting methods to their ED processes. A categorisation, analysis and interpretation of 102 papers is performed for review. This exhaustive review provides an insight for researchers and practitioners about forecasting in EDs in terms of showing current state and potential areas for future attempts.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44699,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Health Systems\",\"volume\":\"9 4\",\"pages\":\"263-284\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-11-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7738299/pdf/THSS_9_1547348.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Health Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/20476965.2018.1547348\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Health Systems","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/20476965.2018.1547348","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
急诊科(ED)全天候为前来就诊的病人提供各种疾病和伤害的治疗。急诊室医疗服务的质量和效率与许多因素有关,如病人的总住院时间(LOS)和入院时间、救护车的及时分流、快速准确的分诊、护士和医生的评估、诊断和实验室服务、会诊和治疗。对急诊室流程进行预测是有效规划医疗服务的重要方法之一。因此,本研究旨在为有意在急诊室流程中应用预测方法的急诊室相关人员提供详尽的综述。本研究对 102 篇论文进行了分类、分析和解释。这篇详尽的综述为研究人员和从业人员提供了有关 ED 预测的见解,展示了当前的状态和未来尝试的潜在领域。
An exhaustive review and analysis on applications of statistical forecasting in hospital emergency departments.
Emergency departments (EDs) provide medical treatment for a broad spectrum of illnesses and injuries to patients who arrive at all hours of the day. The quality and efficient delivery of health care in EDs are associated with a number of factors, such as patient overall length of stay (LOS) and admission, prompt ambulance diversion, quick and accurate triage, nurse and physician assessment, diagnostic and laboratory services, consultations and treatment. One of the most important ways to plan the healthcare delivery efficiently is to make forecasts of ED processes. The aim this study is thus to provide an exhaustive review for ED stakeholders interested in applying forecasting methods to their ED processes. A categorisation, analysis and interpretation of 102 papers is performed for review. This exhaustive review provides an insight for researchers and practitioners about forecasting in EDs in terms of showing current state and potential areas for future attempts.