求解连续空间和时间中的多物种种群博弈

IF 1.2 4区 生物学 Q4 ECOLOGY Theoretical Population Biology Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI:10.1016/j.tpb.2022.06.002
Emil F. Frølich, Uffe H. Thygesen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在过去的50年里,博弈论已经成为理解相互作用的种群的重要工具。博弈论已被用于研究简单生态系统模型中最优行为的种群动态,但现有方法一般不适用于复杂系统。为了将博弈论应用于异质生境的种群动态,通常将生境划分为斑块,并利用博弈论方法在每一时刻寻找最优的斑块分布。然而,现实世界中的种群在连续空间中相互作用,基于完美信息的决策假设是一个很大的简化。本文提出了一种研究连续空间中最优分布的相互作用种群动态的方法。连续设置允许我们模拟有限理性及其对种群动态的影响。这是由于我们在连续空间中解决多人游戏的数值进步。我们的方法取决于重新制定瞬时博弈,应用先进的离散化方法和现代优化软件来解决它。我们将该方法应用于一个理想化的情况,涉及种群动态和垂直分布的饲料鱼捕食桡足类。结合连续的空间和时间,我们可以模拟迁徙的季节变化,分离光线和种群数量的影响。我们得出了与实证结果一致的定性结论。包含有限理性会产生与现实相对应的空间分布,而有限理性与完全理性的种群动态是等价的。我们的方法是通用的,可以很容易地用于复杂的生态系统。
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Solving multispecies population games in continuous space and time

Game theory has emerged as an important tool to understand interacting populations in the last 50 years. Game theory has been applied to study population dynamics with optimal behavior in simple ecosystem models, but existing methods are generally not applicable to complex systems. In order to use game-theory for population dynamics in heterogeneous habitats, habitats are usually split into patches and game-theoretic methods are used to find optimal patch distributions at every instant. However, populations in the real world interact in continuous space, and the assumption of decisions based on perfect information is a large simplification. Here, we develop a method to study population dynamics for interacting populations, distributed optimally in continuous space. A continuous setting allows us to model bounded rationality, and its impact on population dynamics. This is made possible by our numerical advances in solving multiplayer games in continuous space. Our approach hinges on reformulating the instantaneous game, applying an advanced discretization method and modern optimization software to solve it. We apply the method to an idealized case involving the population dynamics and vertical distribution of forage fish preying on copepods. Incorporating continuous space and time, we can model the seasonal variation in the migration, separating the effects of light and population numbers. We arrive at qualitative agreement with empirical findings. Including bounded rationality gives rise to spatial distributions corresponding to reality, while the population dynamics for bounded rationality and complete rationality are equivalent. Our approach is general, and can easily be used for complex ecosystems.

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来源期刊
Theoretical Population Biology
Theoretical Population Biology 生物-进化生物学
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
14.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: An interdisciplinary journal, Theoretical Population Biology presents articles on theoretical aspects of the biology of populations, particularly in the areas of demography, ecology, epidemiology, evolution, and genetics. Emphasis is on the development of mathematical theory and models that enhance the understanding of biological phenomena. Articles highlight the motivation and significance of the work for advancing progress in biology, relying on a substantial mathematical effort to obtain biological insight. The journal also presents empirical results and computational and statistical methods directly impinging on theoretical problems in population biology.
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