作为风险偏好的函数,风险决策受到个人属性的影响。

IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Cognitive Psychology Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI:10.1016/j.cogpsych.2023.101614
Douglas G. Lee , Marco D'Alessandro , Pierpaolo Iodice , Cinzia Calluso , Aldo Rustichini , Giovanni Pezzulo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长期以来,经济学理论一直认为,涉及多个属性或维度的多属性决策,如风险选择中的概率和收入,是通过首先将每个选项的属性组合起来形成整体预期值,然后比较备选选项的预期值来解决的,使用独特的证据积累过程。一个可行的替代方案是在各个属性之间进行独立比较,然后对比较结果进行整合。在这里,我们设计了一种新的方法来消除这些类型的模型之间的歧义,方法是正交地操纵选择选项的期望值及其属性的相对显著性。我们的研究结果基于行为测量和漂移扩散模型,为支持关于个人属性的信息独立影响审议的框架提供了证据。这表明,风险决策是通过在单独的属性之间并行进行多次比较来解决的,可能还会对预期值进行额外的比较。这一结果与标准经济理论的假设形成了鲜明对比,即选择需要对期望值进行独特的比较,并表明在认知层面,决策过程可能比通常假设的更为分散。除了我们计划的分析之外,我们还发现,属性显著性以不同的方式影响不同风险偏好类型的人:厌恶风险的参与者似乎更关注概率,除非货币金额特别高;相反,风险中性/寻求风险的参与者似乎更关注货币金额,除非概率特别低。
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Risky decisions are influenced by individual attributes as a function of risk preference

It has long been assumed in economic theory that multi-attribute decisions involving several attributes or dimensions – such as probabilities and amounts of money to be earned during risky choices – are resolved by first combining the attributes of each option to form an overall expected value and then comparing the expected values of the alternative options, using a unique evidence accumulation process. A plausible alternative would be performing independent comparisons between the individual attributes and then integrating the results of the comparisons afterwards. Here, we devise a novel method to disambiguate between these types of models, by orthogonally manipulating the expected value of choice options and the relative salience of their attributes. Our results, based on behavioral measures and drift-diffusion models, provide evidence in favor of the framework where information about individual attributes independently impacts deliberation. This suggests that risky decisions are resolved by running in parallel multiple comparisons between the separate attributes – possibly alongside an additional comparison of expected value. This result stands in contrast with the assumption of standard economic theory that choices require a unique comparison of expected values and suggests that at the cognitive level, decision processes might be more distributed than commonly assumed. Beyond our planned analyses, we also discovered that attribute salience affects people of different risk preference type in different ways: risk-averse participants seem to focus more on probability, except when monetary amount is particularly high; risk-neutral/seeking participants, in contrast, seem to focus more on monetary amount, except when probability is particularly low.

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来源期刊
Cognitive Psychology
Cognitive Psychology 医学-心理学
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
3.80%
发文量
29
审稿时长
50 days
期刊介绍: Cognitive Psychology is concerned with advances in the study of attention, memory, language processing, perception, problem solving, and thinking. Cognitive Psychology specializes in extensive articles that have a major impact on cognitive theory and provide new theoretical advances. Research Areas include: • Artificial intelligence • Developmental psychology • Linguistics • Neurophysiology • Social psychology.
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