气象参数对新冠肺炎发病率的影响。阿尔及利亚奥兰市的情况。

F. Rahal, Salima Rezak, F. Z. B. Hamed
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引用次数: 3

摘要

几项研究证实了天气条件对新冠肺炎大流行演变的影响。我们想在阿尔及利亚奥兰市验证这一现象,该市于2020年3月19日出现首例新冠肺炎病例。所研究的数据是新冠肺炎病例、平均温度、最低温度和最高温度,以及相对湿度。用Spearman秩相关检验对数据进行的第一次分析没有产生显著的结果。在第二次分析中,考虑到平均潜伏期来调整数据,可以表明最低温度与奥兰的新冠肺炎病例显著相关。这项研究有助于制定新冠肺炎的预防政策,尤其是在秋冬气温下降的时候。
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Impact of meteorological parameters on the Covid-19 incidence. The case of the city of Oran, Algeria.
Several studies have confirmed the impact of weather conditions on the evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic. We wanted to verify this phenomenon in the city of Oran in Algeria, which experienced its first case of Covid19 on March 19, 2020. The data studied are the new Covid19 cases, the average, minimum and maximum temperatures, as well as the relative humidity rate. A first analysis of the data with a Spearman rank correlation test did not yield significant results. Taking into account the average incubation period to adjust the data made it possible, during a second analysis, to show that the minimum temperature is significantly correlated with the new cases of Covid19 in Oran. This study can help establish prevention policies against Covid19, especially during fall in temperatures in autumn and winter.
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