{"title":"全球因素对沙特阿拉伯股票市场的影响:基于分位数分析和频域因果关系的风险管理影响","authors":"Faisal Alqahtani , Besma Hamdi , Shawkat Hammoudeh","doi":"10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100665","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the effect of major global factors—crude oil, gold, silver, the S&P 500 Index, the United States (US) Dollar Index and US Treasuries—and a psychological barrier on the Saudi Arabian equity market. We consider various firm sizes to account for different potential sensitivities to the global factors. We use the quantile approach, which covers the entire distribution of the dependent variable, unlike previous studies that focus on the conditional mean only. We conduct the frequency domain causality test to disentangle the contagion and interdependence effects. Overall, the quantile analysis results demonstrate that crude oil, the S&P 500 Index and silver positively affect the Saudi equity market, while the appreciation of the US Dollar Index negatively affects the market. US Treasuries asymmetrically influence the Saudi market—they have a positive effect in high market conditions (75th–90th quantiles), but a negative effect in low market conditions (10th–25th quantiles). The psychological barrier affects the Saudi market when the oil price commands or exceeds US$100 per barrel across different firm sizes. Our findings are sensitive to firm size and across quantiles, which offers vital implications for investors, market participants and policymakers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47268,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100665","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The effects of global factors on the Saudi Arabia equity market by firm size: Implications for risk management based on quantile analysis and frequency domain causality\",\"authors\":\"Faisal Alqahtani , Besma Hamdi , Shawkat Hammoudeh\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100665\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We investigate the effect of major global factors—crude oil, gold, silver, the S&P 500 Index, the United States (US) Dollar Index and US Treasuries—and a psychological barrier on the Saudi Arabian equity market. We consider various firm sizes to account for different potential sensitivities to the global factors. We use the quantile approach, which covers the entire distribution of the dependent variable, unlike previous studies that focus on the conditional mean only. We conduct the frequency domain causality test to disentangle the contagion and interdependence effects. Overall, the quantile analysis results demonstrate that crude oil, the S&P 500 Index and silver positively affect the Saudi equity market, while the appreciation of the US Dollar Index negatively affects the market. US Treasuries asymmetrically influence the Saudi market—they have a positive effect in high market conditions (75th–90th quantiles), but a negative effect in low market conditions (10th–25th quantiles). The psychological barrier affects the Saudi market when the oil price commands or exceeds US$100 per barrel across different firm sizes. Our findings are sensitive to firm size and across quantiles, which offers vital implications for investors, market participants and policymakers.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47268,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Multinational Financial Management\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100665\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Multinational Financial Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X20300542\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X20300542","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The effects of global factors on the Saudi Arabia equity market by firm size: Implications for risk management based on quantile analysis and frequency domain causality
We investigate the effect of major global factors—crude oil, gold, silver, the S&P 500 Index, the United States (US) Dollar Index and US Treasuries—and a psychological barrier on the Saudi Arabian equity market. We consider various firm sizes to account for different potential sensitivities to the global factors. We use the quantile approach, which covers the entire distribution of the dependent variable, unlike previous studies that focus on the conditional mean only. We conduct the frequency domain causality test to disentangle the contagion and interdependence effects. Overall, the quantile analysis results demonstrate that crude oil, the S&P 500 Index and silver positively affect the Saudi equity market, while the appreciation of the US Dollar Index negatively affects the market. US Treasuries asymmetrically influence the Saudi market—they have a positive effect in high market conditions (75th–90th quantiles), but a negative effect in low market conditions (10th–25th quantiles). The psychological barrier affects the Saudi market when the oil price commands or exceeds US$100 per barrel across different firm sizes. Our findings are sensitive to firm size and across quantiles, which offers vital implications for investors, market participants and policymakers.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years, and the operations of corporations have become increasingly multinationalized. Corporate executives buying and selling goods and services, and making financing and investment decisions across national boundaries, have developed policies and procedures for managing cash flows denominated in foreign currencies. These policies and procedures, and the related managerial actions of executives, change as new relevant information becomes available. The purpose of the Journal of Multinational Financial Management is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the management of the multinational enterprise. Theoretical, conceptual, and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • Foreign exchange risk management • International capital budgeting • Forecasting exchange rates • Foreign direct investment • Hedging strategies • Cost of capital • Managing transaction exposure • Political risk assessment • International working capital management • International financial planning • International tax management • International diversification • Transfer pricing strategies • International liability management • International mergers.