基于drtmle的R中的双稳健推理

D. Benkeser, N. Hejazi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要:处理加权逆概率估计量和双鲁棒估计量(包括处理权值增广逆概率估计量和目标最小损失估计量)在因果推理中被广泛用于估计和推断处理的平均效果。作为中间步骤,这些估计需要估计关键的干扰参数,这些参数通常是回归函数。通常,回归是使用最大似然和参数模型来估计的。置信区间和p值可以根据标准渐近结果计算,如中心极限定理、delta方法和非参数自举法。然而,在高维环境中,最大似然估计经常失效,标准程序不再产生正确的推断。相反,我们可以依靠自适应估计的干扰参数来构造灵活的回归估计。然而,使用自适应估计器对估计的治疗效果进行统计推断提出了挑战。当所有相关的回归函数都一致估计时,双鲁棒估计器有助于推理,但当至少有一个令人讨厌的估计器不一致时,情况就不一样了。除了最近提出的其他几个平均处理效果的估计之外,Drtmle还实现了双重稳健置信区间和假设检验,以估计平均处理效果的目标最小损失。
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Doubly-Robust Inference in R using drtmle
Abstract:Inverse probability of treatment weighted estimators and doubly robust estimators (including augmented inverse probability of treatment weight and targeted minimum loss estimators) are widely used in causal inference to estimate and draw inference about the average effect of a treatment. As an intermediate step, these estimators require estimation of key nuisance parameters, which are often regression functions. Typically, regressions are estimated using maximum likelihood and parametric models. Confidence intervals and p-values may be computed based on standard asymptotic results, such as the central limit theorem, the delta method, and the nonparametric bootstrap. However, in high-dimensional settings, maximum likelihood estimation often breaks down and standard procedures no longer yield correct inference. Instead, we may rely on adaptive estimators of nuisance parameters to construct flexible regression estimators. However, use of adaptive estimators poses a challenge for performing statistical inference about an estimated treatment effect. While doubly robust estimators facilitate inference when all relevant regression functions are consistently estimated, the same cannot be said when at least one nuisance estimator is inconsistent. drtmle implements doubly robust confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for targeted minimum loss estimates of the average treatment effect, in addition to several other recently proposed estimators of the average treatment effect.
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