防止再次发生朝鲜战争——基于战备理论的危机管理案例研究

IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS International Negotiation-A Journal of Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2020-08-17 DOI:10.1163/15718069-25131253
A. Schiff
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了准备理论的分析框架在阐明有助于国际危机降级过程的基本原理方面的相关性。通过将这一分析框架应用于2017-2018年的美朝危机管理事件,本研究阐明了导致激烈危机逐渐平息以及各方在2018年6月新加坡峰会结束时同意正式开始谈判的因素之间的相互作用。该研究表明,正如准备就绪理论所概述的那样,冲突转变运动背后的多重变量如何有助于解释美国和朝鲜采用的双边战略的影响,以及韩国和中国在管理危机中第三方参与的作用。
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Preventing Another Korean War: A Case Study of Crisis Management from the Perspective of Readiness Theory
This study explores the relevance of readiness theory’s analytical framework in illuminating the fundamentals that contribute to the de-escalation process in international crises. By applying this analytical framework to the U.S.-North Korea crisis management episode of 2017–2018, this study elucidates the interplay of elements that led to the winding down of the intense crisis and to the parties’ agreement to formally embark on negotiations at the end of the Singapore Summit in June 2018. The study shows how the multiple variables underlying the movements in conflict transformation, as outlined by readiness theory, can help to explain the effect of bilateral strategies applied by the U.S. and North Korea and the role of third-party involvement by South Korea and China in managing the crisis.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: International Negotiation: A Journal of Theory and Practice examines negotiation from many perspectives, to explore its theoretical foundations and to promote its practical application. It addresses the processes of negotiation relating to political, security, environmental, ethnic, economic, business, legal, scientific and cultural issues and conflicts among nations, international and regional organisations, multinational corporations and other non-state parties. Conceptually, the Journal confronts the difficult task of developing interdisciplinary theories and models of the negotiation process and its desired outcome.
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