基于可计算一般均衡模型的气候变化适应——系统综述

IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI:10.1108/ijccsm-03-2022-0031
T. Wei, A. Aaheim
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的本研究旨在确定可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型在研究气候变化适应方面的应用现状和差距。设计/方法/方法进行系统综述,从Web of Science和Scopus两个数据库中选择、分类和分析相关研究。在两个数据库中总共找到了170篇基于所选关键词的文章,其中56篇是重复的。由于初步排除标准,提交人进一步排除了17篇文章。因此,选择了97篇论文进行全文审查和更详细的评估。只有少数研究明确阐述了CGE模型中体现的自主适应的作用。超过三分之一的研究侧重于有计划的适应,而没有明确提及自主适应。农业是处理最多的部门,采用最多的是国家一级的模式。只有一篇文章关注南美洲。研究局限性/含义综述表明,CGE模型中体现的自主适应在文献中没有得到很好的解决。由于有限的研究表明,自主适应可以显著减轻气候变化的直接影响,因此需要进一步研究自主适应对更好地理解气候变化影响的重要性。此外,专家咨询小组模型可以提供一种考虑缓解和适应战略以及管理措施的联合评估,因为这些模型在文献中也被广泛用于解决缓解措施的影响。原创性/价值对基于CGE模型的气候变化适应研究进行了系统审查,并确定了最先进的知识和研究差距。
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Climate change adaptation based on computable general equilibrium models – a systematic review
Purpose This study aims to identify the current state of the art and the gaps in the application of computable general equilibrium (CGE) models on studying climate change adaptation. Design/methodology/approach A systematic review is conducted to select, classify and analyze relevant studies from two databases of Web of Science and Scopus. Findings Totally, 170 articles based on selected keywords were found from both databases, where 56 articles were duplicates. The authors further excluded 17 articles owing to preliminary exclusion criteria. Hence, 97 papers were selected for full-text review and more detailed assessment. Only a few of the studies explicitly have addressed the role of autonomous adaptation embodied in the CGE models. Over one-third of the studies have focused on planned adaptation without explicitly mentioning autonomous adaptation. Agriculture was the most addressed sector, and country-level models are the most adopted. Only one article has focused on South America. Research limitations/implications The review suggests that autonomous adaptation embodied in CGE models was not well addressed in the literature. As the limited studies have shown that autonomous adaptation can dramatically mitigate direct climate change impacts, further studies are needed to examine the importance of the autonomous adaptation for better understanding of climate change impacts. Furthermore, CGE models can provide a joint assessment considering both mitigation and adaptation strategies and management measures as such models have also been widely used to address effects of mitigation measures in the literature. Originality/value The studies on climate change adaptation based on CGE models have been systematically reviewed, and state-of-the-art knowledge and research gaps have been identified.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Effective from volume 10 (2018), International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an open access journal. In the history of science there have been only a few issues which have mobilized the attention of scientists and policy-makers alike as the issue of climate change currently does. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an international forum that addresses the need for disseminating scholarly research, projects and other initiatives aimed to facilitate a better understanding of the subject matter of climate change. The journal publishes papers dealing with policy-making on climate change, and methodological approaches to cope with the problems deriving from climate change. It disseminates experiences from projects and case studies where due consideration to environmental, economic, social and political aspects is given and especially the links and leverages that can be attained by this holistic approach. It regards climate change under the perspective of its wider implications: for economic growth, water and food security, and for people''s survival – especially those living in the poorest communities in developing countries.
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