新冠肺炎时代的非洲政变:当代历史

IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Frontiers in Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI:10.3389/fpos.2023.1077945
John J. Chin, J. Kirkpatrick
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引用次数: 1

摘要

如何解释过去几年非洲政变活动的激增?为了回答这个问题,本文对2020年8月至2022年11月期间非洲发生的所有11次政变进行了叙述性总结——即当前历史。然后,我们讨论了在此期间观察到的非洲政变频率增加的最相关的因果解释。虽然我们没有发现直接的政变扩散或民主倒退作为政变触发因素的证据,但我们的研究结果表明,过去几年发生政变的非洲国家的贫困程度高得多,最近发生过政变,并且面临着持续的民主巩固困境。正在进行的伊斯兰叛乱可能促成了西非最近的政变,但在其他地方却没有。
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African coups in the COVID-19 era: A current history
What explains the explosion of coup activity in Africa over the last few years? To answer this question, this article presents narrative summaries—a current history—of all eleven coups attempts in Africa between August 2020 and November 2022. We then discuss the most relevant causal explanations for the observed increase in coup frequency in Africa in this period. Though we find relatively little evidence of direct coup diffusion or democratic backsliding as coup triggers, our findings suggest that coup-struck African countries over the last few years are disproportionately poor, have a recent history of coups, and face ongoing dilemmas of democratic consolidation. Ongoing Islamist insurgencies may have helped precipitate recent coups in West Africa but not elsewhere.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Political Science
Frontiers in Political Science Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
135
审稿时长
13 weeks
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