比鲜血和财富更有价值?地位对国内军事干预偏好影响的实验证据

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2020-08-10 DOI:10.1515/peps-2020-0017
Filip Viskupič
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引用次数: 2

摘要

地位对国家之间的关系有独立的影响吗?虽然学者们一直认为地位是一个重要的外交政策驱动因素,但在地位与外交政策结果之间建立因果关系一直是一项挑战。在这个项目中,我使用原始的调查数据来评估地位对外交政策决策的影响,特别是民众对军事干预的支持。在一项在线调查实验中,3658名美国公民面对一个假设的外交政策场景,在这个场景中,他们的国家地位受到了威胁。结果表明,地位威胁的存在增加了对军事干预的支持,即使在国家安全利益受到威胁和可能造成伤亡的情况下也是如此。我还发现,政府不愿意使用武力来保护国家的地位,导致政府的支持率下降。总体而言,研究结果提供了强有力的证据,表明地位是一个重要的外交政策驱动因素,也是国内受众成本的一个来源。
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More Valuable than Blood and Treasure? Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Status on Domestic Preferences for Military Intervention
Abstract Does status have an independent effect on how countries relate to each other? While scholars long argued that status is a salient foreign policy driver, it has been challenging to establish a causal link between status and foreign policy outcomes. In this project, I use original survey data to evaluate the effect of status on foreign policy decision-making, in particular popular support for military intervention. In an online survey experiment, 3658 United States citizens were confronted with a hypothetical foreign policy scenario in which their country’s status was threatened. The results show that the presence of a status threat increases support for military intervention, even in situations where national security interests are at stake and casualties are likely. I also find that government’s unwillingness to use force to protect the country’s status leads to decreased government approval. Overall, the results provide strong evidence that status is an important foreign policy driver and a source of domestic audience costs.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The journal accepts rigorous, non-technical papers especially in research methods in peace science, but also regular papers dealing with all aspects of the peace science field, from pure abstract theory to practical applied research. As a guide to topics: - Arms Control and International Security - Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Studies - Behavioral Studies - Conflict Analysis and Management - Cooperation, Alliances and Games - Crises and War Studies - Critical Economic Aspects of the Global Crises - Deterrence Theory - Empirical and Historical Studies on the Causes of War - Game, Prospect and Related Theory - Harmony and Conflict - Hierarchy Theory
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