一种用于桩基早期成本估算的混合机器学习方法

IF 2.6 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Journal of Engineering Design and Technology Pub Date : 2023-06-13 DOI:10.1108/jedt-03-2023-0097
G. Deepa, A. Niranjana, A. Balu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的提出一种用于建设项目早期成本预测的混合模型。建筑项目的早期成本预测是在预先确定的预算范围内获得项目的基本方法。然而,大多数项目经常面临成本超支的影响。此外,传统的和人工的成本计算技术是忙乱的、耗时的和容易出错的。为了应对这些挑战,人工神经网络、模糊逻辑和遗传算法等软计算技术被应用于施工管理中。每种技术不仅在效率方面,而且在可行性、实用性、可靠性和环境影响方面都有自己的限制。然而,由于这些技术的固有性质,适当的组合可以改进模型。本文提出了一种结合机器学习(ML)技术和人工神经网络的混合模型,以准确预测桩基成本。从印度的五个不同项目中收集了影响桩基成本的参数。在收集的180个数据条目中,数据清理后最终使用了176个条目。约70%的最终数据用于构建模型,其余30%用于验证。结果:该模型预测桩基成本的准确率为97.42%。原创性/价值虽然有各种各样的成本估算技术,但适当地使用和组合各种机器学习技术有助于提高预测的准确性。该模型对桩基造价估算具有一定的价值。
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A hybrid machine learning approach for early cost estimation of pile foundations
Purpose This study aims at proposing a hybrid model for early cost prediction of a construction project. Early cost prediction for a construction project is the basic approach to procure a project within a predefined budget. However, most of the projects routinely face the impact of cost overruns. Furthermore, conventional and manual cost computing techniques are hectic, time-consuming and error-prone. To deal with such challenges, soft computing techniques such as artificial neural networks (ANNs), fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms are applied in construction management. Each technique has its own constraints not only in terms of efficiency but also in terms of feasibility, practicability, reliability and environmental impacts. However, appropriate combination of the techniques improves the model owing to their inherent nature. Design/methodology/approach This paper proposes a hybrid model by combining machine learning (ML) techniques with ANN to accurately predict the cost of pile foundations. The parameters contributing toward the cost of pile foundations were collected from five different projects in India. Out of 180 collected data entries, 176 entries were finally used after data cleaning. About 70% of the final data were used for building the model and the remaining 30% were used for validation. Findings The proposed model is capable of predicting the pile foundation costs with an accuracy of 97.42%. Originality/value Although various cost estimation techniques are available, appropriate use and combination of various ML techniques aid in improving the prediction accuracy. The proposed model will be a value addition to cost estimation of pile foundations.
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来源期刊
Journal of Engineering Design and Technology
Journal of Engineering Design and Technology ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
21.40%
发文量
67
期刊介绍: - Design strategies - Usability and adaptability - Material, component and systems performance - Process control - Alternative and new technologies - Organizational, management and research issues - Human factors - Environmental, quality and health and safety issues - Cost and life cycle issues - Sustainability criteria, indicators, measurement and practices - Risk management - Entrepreneurship Law, regulation and governance - Design, implementing, managing and practicing innovation - Visualization, simulation, information and communication technologies - Education practices, innovation, strategies and policy issues.
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