癌症的空间聚类:伊朗妇女的流行病学分析

Meysam Olfatifar, M. Karami, A. Moghimbeigi, A. Motlagh, Ghodrat Rooshanaee, Elham Partovipour, Mansoureh Abdolahi
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引用次数: 8

摘要

背景:乳腺癌是伊朗女性中最常见的癌症。本研究的目的是探讨伊朗各省之间的空间自相关和估计发病率的差异。方法:采用横断面探索性研究方法,对2004 - 2010年年龄标准化发病率进行分析,以检测热点和冷点图,并用普通克里格法估算发病率。结果:聚类图显示,热点和冷点位于伊朗东部和东北部地区。2004年的估计值在0.06-101.15之间,2010年的估计值在20.85-329.68之间,这表明发病率在增加,特别是在一些地区。结论:与其他地区相比,我国东部和东北部地区乳腺癌集群的地理分布存在较大差异。为了更好地了解影响乳腺癌发病率的因素,建议政策制定者考虑这种省级差异。
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Spatial Clustering of Breast Cancer: An Epidemiological Analysis of Iranian Women
Background: Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women in Iran. The aim of this study was to explore the spatial autocorrelation and the estimation incidence rates variance among Iranian provinces. Methods: In this cross-sectional exploratory study, age-standardized incidence rates from 2004 to 2010 were analyzed in order to detect hot and cold spots map and estimate the rates using ordinary kriging Results: Mapping of clusters showed that hot and cold spots located in the East and North East regions of Iran. Maps of estimated valuesfor2004werebetween0.06-101.15andfor2010between20.85-329.68, whichindicateincreaseinincidencerates, especially in some areas. Conclusions: Therearerelativelylargedifferencesbetweenthegeographicdistributionof thebreastcancerclustersintheEastand North East regions of the country in comparison to other areas. Policy makers are advised to consider such provincial diversity for better understanding of factors affecting the incidence of breast cancer.
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