赢家不通吃:以色列-哈马斯冲突的教训

IF 0.6 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Middle East Policy Pub Date : 2023-08-06 DOI:10.1111/mepo.12703
G. Hitman, Alona Itskovich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管有无数关于武装冲突胜利的研究,但学者们对这个术语的确切含义意见不一。这篇文章使用希伯来语和阿拉伯语的主要来源,旨在定义胜利,并区分战争中成功结果的类型。我们通过一个具有四个层面的模型分析了以色列和哈马斯之间军事冲突的三个案例研究:战术、行动、战略和系统。研究表明,在所有三次冲突(2008年、2012年、2014年)中,结果都很难评估,因为定义之间的界限模糊不清。报告还得出结论,双方都没有取得战略胜利,打破自2007年6月以来的现状——尽管哈马斯领导人声称,由于该组织的生存,双方都取得了战略胜利。以色列在没有先进计划的情况下,其战略政策一直依靠战术胜利。
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Winner Does Not Take All: Lessons from the Israel‐Hamas Conflict
Despite countless studies on victory in armed conflict, scholars disagree about the exact meaning of this term. This article, using primary sources in Hebrew and Arabic, aims to define victory and to discern between types of successful outcomes in war. We analyze three case studies of military collision between Israel and Hamas through a model featuring four levels: tactical, operational, strategic, and systemic. The study shows that in all three clashes (2008, 2012, 2014), the outcomes are difficult to evaluate because the boundaries between the definitions are foggy. It also concludes that neither side has achieved a strategic victory that breaks the status quo that has held since June 2007—though Hamas's leaders have claimed strategic victory due to the group's survival. Israel, without advanced planning, has relied on tactical wins for its strategic policy.
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来源期刊
Middle East Policy
Middle East Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
20.00%
发文量
49
期刊介绍: The most frequently cited journal on the Middle East region in the field of international affairs, Middle East Policy has been engaging thoughtful minds for more than 25 years. Since its inception in 1982, the journal has been recognized as a valuable addition to the Washington-based policy discussion. Middle East Policy provides an influential forum for a wide range of views on U.S. interests in the region and the value of the policies that are supposed to promote them.
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