新冠肺炎经济冲击对塞内加尔妇女的经济和分配影响

Q3 Social Sciences International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI:10.34196/ijm.00267
H. Maisonnave, F. Cabral, M. Henseler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与其他非洲国家一样,塞内加尔也受到Covid-19的袭击,并已采取措施控制疫情。这些措施对男性和女性的影响不同,主要是通过对劳动力市场的影响。我们在一个可计算的一般均衡(CGE)模型中模拟经济冲击,以评估经济影响。我们通过将CGE模型与微观模拟就业模块联系起来,捕捉到性别对女性就业的影响。此外,我们通过使用顺序自顶向下分层微观模拟家庭模块执行分布分析来评估对贫困和不平等的影响。结果表明,塞内加尔经济受到新冠肺炎措施的影响,在中度和重度情景下,国内生产总值分别下降5%和7%。虽然大多数部门受到不利影响,但有些部门受益于外国需求的增加(例如对某些农产品的需求)。在就业方面,非技术工人是受影响最大的群体。由于妇女在农业部门占主导地位,女工受到的影响相对较小。事实上,国外对农产品需求的增加对农业部门产生了积极影响。但是,在国家一级,所有家庭,特别是农村家庭和生活在达喀尔以外城市地区的家庭的贫穷情况有所增加。具体而言,农村家庭的贫困差距和严重程度比城市家庭增加得更多©2022,Maisonnave等
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Economic and Distributional Impacts of Covid-19 Economic Shocks on Women in Senegal
Like other African countries, Senegal has been hit by Covid-19 and has implemented measures to contain the epidemic. These measures impact men and women differently, mainly via the impacts on the labour market. We simulate the economic shocks in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the economic impacts. We capture the gendered impact on women's employment by linking the CGE model with a micro-simulation employment module. Furthermore, we assess the impact on poverty and inequality by executing a distributive analysis with a sequential top-down layered micro-simulation households module. The results show that the Senegalese economy suffers from Covid-19 measures with a decrease in gross domestic product by 5% and 7% in the moderate and severe scenarios, respectively. While most sectors are negatively affected, some benefit from the increase in foreign demand (e.g., for certain agricultural products). In terms of employment, unskilled workers are the most affected group. Female workers are relatively less affected than male workers due to the predominant presence of women in the agricultural sectors. Indeed, the increased foreign demand for agricultural products positively affects the agricultural sectors. However, poverty increases at the national level for all households, especially for rural households and households living in urban areas except Dakar. Specifically, the poverty gap and severity for rural households increase more than for urban households © 2022, Maisonnave et al
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来源期刊
International Journal of Microsimulation
International Journal of Microsimulation Mathematics-Modeling and Simulation
CiteScore
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期刊介绍: The IJM covers research in all aspects of microsimulation modelling. It publishes high quality contributions making use of microsimulation models to address specific research questions in all scientific areas, as well as methodological and technical issues. IJM concern: the description, validation, benchmarking and replication of microsimulation models; results coming from microsimulation models, in particular policy evaluation and counterfactual analysis; technical or methodological aspect of microsimulation modelling; reviews of models and results, as well as of technical or methodological issues.
期刊最新文献
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