确定台风灾害所需志愿者人数的数据驱动决策模型

IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH 安全科学与韧性(英文) Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.03.001
Sheng-Qun Chen , Jie Bai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

志愿者团队在大规模灾害发生后提供宝贵的支持。然而,过多的志愿者参与给正式运作带来了挑战。因此,需要一种合适的决策方法来快速确定灾后所需的志愿者数量。本研究提出一种台风灾害志愿服务的数据驱动决策(D3M)方法,可有效预测所需志愿服务人数。从实际案例中收集灾害数据,进行分析和预处理,以准备模型。通过特征选择、D3M模型训练和优化以及模型验证来微调志愿者参与者的预测。利用菲律宾一次实际台风数据,通过对试验结果的对比分析,验证了该方法的合理性和有效性。该方法通过对灾害事件数据的学习,快速预测所需志愿者的数量,既可以合理分配志愿者协助专业队伍进行救援,又可以避免因反应过于激烈而产生的二次问题。
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Data-driven decision-making model for determining the number of volunteers required in typhoon disasters

Volunteer teams provide valuable support after large-scale disasters. However, excessive volunteer participation poses challenges for formal operations. Therefore, an appropriate decision-making method is required to quickly determine the number of volunteers required after a disaster. This study proposes a data-driven decision-making (D3M) method for typhoon disaster volunteerism that can effectively predict the number of volunteers required. Disaster data from actual cases were gathered, analyzed, and preprocessed to prepare the model. Feature selection, D3M model training and optimization, and model validation were performed to fine-tune the volunteer participant predictions. Using data from an actual typhoon in the Philippines, the rationality and efficacy of the method were verified through a comparative analysis of the experimental results. The proposed method learns from disaster-event data to quickly predict the number of volunteers needed, such that it not only reasonably allocates volunteers to assist professional teams in rescue but also avoids secondary problems caused by an overwhelming response.

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来源期刊
安全科学与韧性(英文)
安全科学与韧性(英文) Management Science and Operations Research, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality, Safety Research
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
72 days
期刊最新文献
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