{"title":"确定台风灾害所需志愿者人数的数据驱动决策模型","authors":"Sheng-Qun Chen , Jie Bai","doi":"10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.03.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Volunteer teams provide valuable support after large-scale disasters. However, excessive volunteer participation poses challenges for formal operations. Therefore, an appropriate decision-making method is required to quickly determine the number of volunteers required after a disaster. This study proposes a data-driven decision-making (D<sup>3</sup>M) method for typhoon disaster volunteerism that can effectively predict the number of volunteers required. Disaster data from actual cases were gathered, analyzed, and preprocessed to prepare the model. Feature selection, D<sup>3</sup>M model training and optimization, and model validation were performed to fine-tune the volunteer participant predictions. Using data from an actual typhoon in the Philippines, the rationality and efficacy of the method were verified through a comparative analysis of the experimental results. The proposed method learns from disaster-event data to quickly predict the number of volunteers needed, such that it not only reasonably allocates volunteers to assist professional teams in rescue but also avoids secondary problems caused by an overwhelming response.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":62710,"journal":{"name":"安全科学与韧性(英文)","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 229-240"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Data-driven decision-making model for determining the number of volunteers required in typhoon disasters\",\"authors\":\"Sheng-Qun Chen , Jie Bai\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.03.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Volunteer teams provide valuable support after large-scale disasters. However, excessive volunteer participation poses challenges for formal operations. Therefore, an appropriate decision-making method is required to quickly determine the number of volunteers required after a disaster. This study proposes a data-driven decision-making (D<sup>3</sup>M) method for typhoon disaster volunteerism that can effectively predict the number of volunteers required. Disaster data from actual cases were gathered, analyzed, and preprocessed to prepare the model. Feature selection, D<sup>3</sup>M model training and optimization, and model validation were performed to fine-tune the volunteer participant predictions. Using data from an actual typhoon in the Philippines, the rationality and efficacy of the method were verified through a comparative analysis of the experimental results. The proposed method learns from disaster-event data to quickly predict the number of volunteers needed, such that it not only reasonably allocates volunteers to assist professional teams in rescue but also avoids secondary problems caused by an overwhelming response.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":62710,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"安全科学与韧性(英文)\",\"volume\":\"4 3\",\"pages\":\"Pages 229-240\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"安全科学与韧性(英文)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1087\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449623000166\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"安全科学与韧性(英文)","FirstCategoryId":"1087","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449623000166","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
Data-driven decision-making model for determining the number of volunteers required in typhoon disasters
Volunteer teams provide valuable support after large-scale disasters. However, excessive volunteer participation poses challenges for formal operations. Therefore, an appropriate decision-making method is required to quickly determine the number of volunteers required after a disaster. This study proposes a data-driven decision-making (D3M) method for typhoon disaster volunteerism that can effectively predict the number of volunteers required. Disaster data from actual cases were gathered, analyzed, and preprocessed to prepare the model. Feature selection, D3M model training and optimization, and model validation were performed to fine-tune the volunteer participant predictions. Using data from an actual typhoon in the Philippines, the rationality and efficacy of the method were verified through a comparative analysis of the experimental results. The proposed method learns from disaster-event data to quickly predict the number of volunteers needed, such that it not only reasonably allocates volunteers to assist professional teams in rescue but also avoids secondary problems caused by an overwhelming response.