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Multi-factor coupled forest fire model based on cellular automata 基于蜂窝自动机的多因素耦合林火模型
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.06.002

The risk of forest fires is substantial due to uneven precipitation distributions and abnormal climate change. This study employs cellular automata principles to analyze forest fire behavior, taking into account meteorological elements, combustible material types, and terrain slopes. The Wang Zhengfei model is utilized to compute fire spread speed, and a multifactor coupled forest fire model is developed. Comparisons with experimental data show a mean calculated fire spread speed of 0.69 m/min, which is consistent with the experimental results. Using the forest fire in Anning city, Yunnan Province, as a case study with a mean burned area of 2281 ha, the burned area, rate of change in burned area, and burning area demonstrated an increasing trend, with fluctuating states in the rate of change of the burning area. Employing the controlled variable method to examine forest fire spreading patterns under varying factors such as wind speed, vegetation type, and maximum slope reveals that under wind influence, the fire site adopts an elliptical shape with the downwind direction as the major axis. Quantitatively, when the wind speed increases from 2 m/s to 10 m/s, the burned area expands by a factor of 1.37. The ratio of the combustible material configuration coefficient to the burned area remains consistent across the different vegetation types, and the burned area increases by a factor of 1.92 when the maximum slope increases from 5° to 25°.

由于降水分布不均和气候变化异常,森林火灾的风险很大。本研究采用蜂窝自动机原理分析森林火灾行为,考虑了气象要素、可燃物质类型和地形坡度。利用王正飞模型计算火灾蔓延速度,并建立了多因素耦合林火模型。与实验数据比较显示,计算出的平均火势蔓延速度为 0.69 米/分钟,与实验结果一致。以云南省安宁市平均烧毁面积为 2281 公顷的森林火灾为例,烧毁面积、烧毁面积变化率和烧毁面积均呈上升趋势,烧毁面积变化率呈波动状态。采用控制变量法研究风速、植被类型和最大坡度等因素变化下的林火蔓延规律,发现在风力影响下,火场呈以下风方向为主轴的椭圆形。从数量上看,当风速从 2 米/秒增加到 10 米/秒时,燃烧面积扩大了 1.37 倍。不同植被类型的可燃物配置系数与燃烧面积之比保持一致,当最大坡度从 5° 增加到 25° 时,燃烧面积增加了 1.92 倍。
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引用次数: 0
A spatial scene reconstruction framework in emergency response scenario 应急场景中的空间场景重建框架
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.004

Rapid and accurate acquisition and analysis of information is crucial for emergency management, but traditional methods have limitations such as incomplete information acquisition and slow processing speed. The natural language oriented spatial scene reconstruction method provides a new solution for emergency management, but existing generative models have limited understanding of spatial relationships and lack high-quality training samples. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel spatial scene reconstruction framework. Specifically, the BERT based spatial information knowledge graph extraction method is used to encode the input text, label and classify the encoded text, identify spatial objects and relationships in the text, and accurately extract spatial information. Additionally, a large number of manual experiments were conducted to explore quantitative biases in human spatial cognition, and based on the obtained biases, a greedy resolution method based on cost functions was used to fine tune the layout of conflicting spatial objects and solve the conflicting spatial information in the spatial information knowledge graph. Finally, use graph convolutional neural networks to obtain scene knowledge graph embeddings that consider spatial constraints. In addition, a high-quality training sample set of “text-scene-knowledge graph” was constructed.

快速准确地获取和分析信息对应急管理至关重要,但传统方法存在信息获取不完整、处理速度慢等局限性。面向自然语言的空间场景重建方法为应急管理提供了新的解决方案,但现有的生成模型对空间关系的理解有限,且缺乏高质量的训练样本。为解决这些问题,本文提出了一种新型空间场景重建框架。具体来说,本文采用基于 BERT 的空间信息知识图提取方法,对输入文本进行编码,对编码后的文本进行标注和分类,识别文本中的空间对象和空间关系,准确提取空间信息。此外,还进行了大量人工实验,探索人类空间认知中的定量偏差,并根据得到的偏差,采用基于代价函数的贪婪解析法对空间冲突对象的布局进行微调,解决空间信息知识图谱中的空间信息冲突问题。最后,利用图卷积神经网络获得考虑空间约束的场景知识图嵌入。此外,还构建了高质量的 "文本-场景-知识图谱 "训练样本集。
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引用次数: 0
Comfort assessment of wind induced vibrations for slender structures by field monitoring and numerical analysis 通过现场监测和数值分析评估风引起的细长结构振动的舒适性
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.06.004

Slender structures often lead to vibration discomfort for occupants when exposed to wind forces. This study proposes an innovative method for assessing comfort against wind-induced vibrations for slender structures that combines field monitoring, numerical simulations, codal provisions, and Chang's comfort chart. The method utilizes ambient vibration tests (AVT) and operational modal analysis (OMA) to create a reliable finite element (FE) model for the structure. It involves analyzing the time history and calculating the peak acceleration values at various points within the structure using synthetic ambient wind forces derived from superposing waves. The comfort assessment compares peak acceleration values estimated from time history analysis against those provided in Chang's chart for different comfort levels. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through a case study on a tall, slender reinforced concrete (RC) staircase structure, confirming its suitability for practical applications.

细长结构在风力作用下往往会导致居住者产生振动不适感。本研究提出了一种创新方法,用于评估细长结构在风引起的振动下的舒适度,该方法结合了现场监测、数值模拟、法规规定和张氏舒适度图表。该方法利用环境振动测试 (AVT) 和运行模态分析 (OMA) 为结构创建可靠的有限元 (FE) 模型。它包括分析时间历史,并利用叠加波产生的合成环境风力计算结构内各点的峰值加速度值。舒适度评估将时间历程分析估算出的峰值加速度值与 Chang 图表中提供的不同舒适度等级的峰值加速度值进行比较。通过对一个高大、细长的钢筋混凝土(RC)楼梯结构进行案例研究,证明了所提方法的有效性,从而证实了其在实际应用中的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
YOLOv8-EMSC: A lightweight fire recognition algorithm for large spaces YOLOv8-EMSC:适用于大型空间的轻量级火灾识别算法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.06.003

Stringent fire prevention requirements are imperative in expansive environments. Fire detection in diverse large-scale settings typically relies on sensor-based or AI-driven target detection methods. Traditional fire detectors often suffer from false alarms and missed detections, failing to meet the fire safety requirements of large-scale structures. Many existing target detection algorithms are characterized by substantial model sizes. Some detection terminals in large structures face challenges deploying these models due to constrained computational resources. To address this issue, we propose a lightweight model, YOLOv8-EMSC, derived from YOLOv8n. The incorporation of C2f_EMSC, replacing the C2f module, significantly reduces the model parameters in the enhanced YOLOv8-EMSC model compared to YOLOv8n, thereby enhancing model inference speed. Extensive testing and validation using a custom-built large-scale infrared fire dataset demonstrates a 9.6 % reduction in parameters compared to the baseline model for YOLOv8-EMSC, achieving an average precision of 95.6 %, surpassing both the baseline and mainstream models and significantly enhancing fire detection accuracy in expansive environments.

在广阔的环境中,严格的防火要求势在必行。各种大型环境中的火灾探测通常依赖于基于传感器或人工智能驱动的目标探测方法。传统的火灾探测器经常出现误报和漏检,无法满足大型建筑的消防安全要求。许多现有的目标检测算法都具有模型规模庞大的特点。由于计算资源有限,一些大型结构中的检测终端在部署这些模型时面临挑战。为解决这一问题,我们提出了一种源自 YOLOv8n 的轻量级模型 YOLOv8-EMSC。与 YOLOv8n 相比,在增强型 YOLOv8-EMSC 模型中加入 C2f_EMSC,取代 C2f 模块,大大减少了模型参数,从而提高了模型推理速度。使用定制的大规模红外火灾数据集进行的广泛测试和验证表明,与基线模型相比,YOLOv8-EMSC 的参数减少了 9.6%,平均精度达到 95.6%,超过了基线模型和主流模型,显著提高了在广阔环境中的火灾探测精度。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic risk assessment and damage analysis: Emerging trends and new developments 地震风险评估和损害分析:新趋势和新发展
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.005

Earthquakes are major catastrophes that cause great life and economic losses to human society and environment. This paper reviews and synthesizes relevant studies, drawing from a systematic examination of 4229 articles from the Web of Science core collection (1982–2023). Employing the CiteSpace visualization and analysis tool, current research and emerging trends in seismic risk assessment are discussed and analyzed. This paper provides a holistic overview of principal contributions, knowledge sources, interdisciplinary characteristics, and principal research topics in this field. Additionally, we propose key technologies that are in urgent need of enhancement, including data availability, quantity and quality of data, interpretability of machine learning models, performance improvement of machine learning methods and application of foundation models, as well as real-time risk assessment techniques. These insights support both theoretical understanding and practical applications of seismic risk assessment and damage analysis.

地震是给人类社会和环境造成巨大生命和经济损失的重大灾难。本文通过对 Web of Science 核心数据库(1982-2023 年)中 4229 篇文章的系统研究,对相关研究进行了回顾和总结。利用 CiteSpace 可视化和分析工具,对地震风险评估的当前研究和新趋势进行了讨论和分析。本文全面概述了该领域的主要贡献、知识来源、跨学科特点和主要研究课题。此外,我们还提出了亟需改进的关键技术,包括数据可用性、数据数量和质量、机器学习模型的可解释性、机器学习方法的性能改进和基础模型的应用,以及实时风险评估技术。这些见解为地震风险评估和破坏分析的理论理解和实际应用提供了支持。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating flood and earthquake resilience: a framework for assessing urban community resilience against multiple hazards 综合抗洪和抗震能力:评估城市社区抵御多种灾害能力的框架
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.002

Floods and earthquakes are the most common natural disasters, causing significant damage and casualties in urban communities. Although academic research has focused on assessing cities' ability to withstand these natural disasters, there is a lack of established frameworks for evaluating resilience against multiple hazards. This research integrates the earthquake and flood resilience indicators to create a comprehensive resilience assessment framework. This study integrated seismic and flood resilience indicators and categorized them into 27 clusters. It also used the DEMATEL (Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) method to determine the significance of clusters and prioritize them. This research identified 13 cause clusters and 14 effect clusters of indicators for seismic and flood resilience. The ‘response capacity’ cluster has the most impact on seismic and flood resilience, while the ‘transportation and accessibility’ cluster is the most affected cluster. This article presents a framework for evaluating flood and seismic resilience and makes suggestions for future research.

洪水和地震是最常见的自然灾害,对城市社区造成了重大破坏和人员伤亡。尽管学术研究主要集中在评估城市抵御这些自然灾害的能力上,但目前还缺乏评估城市抵御多种灾害能力的既定框架。本研究整合了地震和洪水抗灾能力指标,创建了一个全面的抗灾能力评估框架。本研究整合了地震和洪水抗灾能力指标,并将其分为 27 个群组。研究还使用了 DEMATEL(决策试验与评估实验室)方法来确定各组群的重要性和优先顺序。这项研究确定了抗震和抗洪指标的 13 个原因群组和 14 个影响群组。其中,"响应能力 "指标群对抗震和抗洪能力的影响最大,而 "交通和可达性 "指标群则是受影响最大的指标群。本文提出了评估抗洪和抗震能力的框架,并为今后的研究提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the impact of safety pictogram training on comprehension scores and knowledge retention among engineering students 评估安全象形图培训对工科学生理解力得分和知识保留的影响
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.003
Celal Gungor

Safety pictograms are essential tools for identifying workplace hazards by providing critical information about health hazard risks, fire safety, emergency evacuation, and accident prevention. Effective safety pictogram training programs are necessary to enhance workers' knowledge of these pictograms. This study evaluates the effectiveness of a safety pictogram training program on the comprehension and retention of knowledge among engineering students. A total of 262 participants were asked to predict the meaning of 22 safety pictograms regulated by International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 7010 before and after a one-hour online training session. A follow-up test was administered six months later to assess long-term knowledge retention. Results showed that the average comprehension rate increased from 60.1 % before training to 68.3 % after training, with a retention rate of 66.0 % six months after training. The study found that training positively affected comprehension of emergency and mandatory action pictograms, while lower scores were observed for warning pictograms. Statistical tests revealed a significant effect of training on comprehension levels 16 out of 22 pictograms, with an average increase in comprehension of 11.2 %. Of these 16 pictograms, the comprehension level of 10 pictograms increased after training and remained at the same level six months later. However, the scores decreased slightly six months after the intervention, indicating the need for continued reinforcement or retraining. These findings have important implications for safety education and training programs, particularly in industries where safety hazards are widespread. The positive impact of training on comprehension scores highlights the ongoing need to improve safety pictogram comprehension to consistently meet standard acceptance criteria. Future training programs may need to focus on categories such as warning pictograms and fire equipment and fire action pictograms, which exhibited lower comprehension scores, to ensure better employee understanding.

安全象形图是识别工作场所危险的重要工具,它提供了有关健康危害风险、消防安全、紧急疏散和事故预防的重要信息。有效的安全象形图培训计划对于增强工人对这些象形图的了解十分必要。本研究评估了安全象形图培训计划对工程专业学生理解和保留知识的效果。在一个小时的在线培训课程前后,共有 262 名参与者被要求预测国际标准化组织 (ISO) 7010 规定的 22 个安全象形图的含义。6 个月后进行了一次跟踪测试,以评估知识的长期保留情况。结果显示,平均理解率从培训前的 60.1% 提高到培训后的 68.3%,培训六个月后的保留率为 66.0%。研究发现,培训对紧急和强制行动象形图的理解有积极影响,而对警告象形图的理解得分较低。统计测试表明,培训对 22 幅象形图中 16 幅的理解水平有明显影响,平均提高了 11.2%。在这 16 幅图画中,有 10 幅图画的理解水平在培训后有所提高,并在 6 个月后保持在同一水平。不过,在干预六个月后,分数略有下降,这表明需要继续加强或再培训。这些发现对安全教育和培训计划具有重要意义,尤其是在安全隐患普遍存在的行业。培训对理解力得分的积极影响突出表明,需要不断提高安全象形图的理解力,使其始终符合标准验收标准。未来的培训计划可能需要把重点放在警告象形图、消防设备和消防行动象形图等理解分数较低的类别上,以确保员工更好地理解。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of urban terrorism literature: Root causes, thematic trends, and future directions 对城市恐怖主义文献的系统回顾:根源、主题趋势和未来方向
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.03.006
Muhammad Noor E Elahi Mirza , Irfan Ahmad Rana

Urban terrorism is a significant global concern, prompting extensive scholarly inquiry into its underlying causes and effects. However, a comprehensive literature review summarizing this body of knowledge is notably absent. Thus, this study seeks to address this gap by conducting a thorough examination of existing literature on terrorism, particularly focusing on urban contexts, to identify key patterns and recurring themes. The study identified 515 research articles using the keywords "urban" and "terrorism" through the Web of Science and Scopus databases. A bibliometric review was conducted, which included a historical background, author keywords, country and institution, citation, and co-citation analyses. The findings revealed an increase in the number of studies on urban terrorism following the 9/11 attacks in the United States, which accounted for the highest number of publications in the country. Most studies were conducted in government law, international relations, and urban studies. Keyword analysis revealed that counterterrorism, security, and disasters were more closely linked to terrorism. Thematic analysis identified six main themes related to urban spaces and terrorism: tourism, governance, resilience, public health, economy, security, and counterterrorism. This study emphasizes the importance of involving the public in counterterrorism efforts in addition to traditional approaches to addressing urban terrorism.

城市恐怖主义是全球关注的一个重大问题,促使学者们对其根本原因和影响进行了广泛的研究。然而,总结这方面知识的全面文献综述却明显缺乏。因此,本研究试图通过对有关恐怖主义的现有文献进行彻底审查,特别是侧重于城市背景的文献,以确定关键模式和重复出现的主题,从而弥补这一空白。本研究通过 Web of Science 和 Scopus 数据库,使用关键词 "城市 "和 "恐怖主义 "确定了 515 篇研究文章。进行了文献计量学审查,包括历史背景、作者关键词、国家和机构、引文和共同引文分析。研究结果表明,在美国发生 9/11 袭击事件后,有关城市恐怖主义的研究数量有所增加,其中美国的出版物数量最多。大多数研究是在政府法律、国际关系和城市研究领域进行的。关键词分析表明,反恐、安全和灾害与恐怖主义的关系更为密切。专题分析确定了与城市空间和恐怖主义相关的六大主题:旅游、治理、复原力、公共卫生、经济、安全和反恐。这项研究强调,除了传统的应对城市恐怖主义的方法外,让公众参与反恐工作也非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) as a fuel and the associated risks: A quantitative analysis in the scenario of a developing country 压缩天然气 (CNG) 作为燃料及其相关风险:发展中国家的定量分析
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.001
Yousaf Ali , Ahsan Younus , Amin Ullah Khan , Ahmed H. Alrefai

Excessive dependence on fossil fuels has precipitated various challenges, including Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions, health hazards, and the depletion of natural resources. Such perils underscore the importance of conducting requisite risk assessments for alternative fuel sources like Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) to ensure their safe utilization. This study undertakes a quantitative risk assessment encompassing diverse facets of the CNG sector holistically, aiming to pinpoint, analyze, and appraise risks, thus empowering policymakers to devise targeted mitigation strategies. To achieve this goal, the collected data undergoes analysis via an integrated approach combining the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (F-AHP) and Fuzzy Technique of Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (F-TOPSIS). The study's findings reveal a heightened risk of explosion within the CNG sector owing to its highly combustible nature. Additionally, it computes an overall risk index of 0.266 for the CNG sector in a developing nation like Pakistan, indicating a relatively lower risk level compared to other fuel sources. Policymakers are thus advised to undertake requisite measures concerning infrastructure, customer safety, and environmental and economic stability to accrue both immediate and long-term benefits. The application of hybrid techniques for the risk assessment of the CNG sector in the case of a developing country marks the novelty of this study and a study of the first of its kind.

对化石燃料的过度依赖引发了各种挑战,包括温室气体(GHG)排放、健康危害和自然资源枯竭。这些危险凸显了对压缩天然气 (CNG) 等替代燃料进行必要风险评估以确保其安全使用的重要性。本研究从整体上对压缩天然气行业的不同方面进行了定量风险评估,旨在确定、分析和评估风险,从而帮助决策者制定有针对性的缓解战略。为实现这一目标,收集到的数据将通过模糊层次分析法(F-AHP)和理想解相似度排序偏好模糊技术(F-TOPSIS)相结合的综合方法进行分析。研究结果表明,由于压缩天然气具有高度可燃性,其爆炸风险非常高。此外,研究还计算出,在巴基斯坦这样的发展中国家,压缩天然气行业的总体风险指数为 0.266,表明与其他燃料来源相比,其风险水平相对较低。因此,建议政策制定者在基础设施、客户安全、环境和经济稳定性方面采取必要措施,以获得近期和长期利益。在发展中国家应用混合技术对压缩天然气行业进行风险评估是本研究的新颖之处,也是同类研究中的首例。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and regional resilience: Trends, priorities, and the geography of research COVID-19 和地区复原力:趋势、优先事项和研究的地域性
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.004
Irina D. Turgel , Olga A. Chernova

The global economic crisis of 2008–2013 led to the emergence of the concept of resilience, which focuses on the ability of socio-economic system store cover socially, economically, and environmentally after external impacts. The COVID-19 pandemic spurred scholarly interest in regional resilience as a new conceptual framework for the sustainability theory. This paper aims to examine the influence of the pandemic on the trends and geography of regional resilience studies. We analyzed data derived from Science Direct and used VOSviewer to perform clustering and bibliometric network analysis. The countries that suffered the most from the pandemic and showed the largest regional socioeconomic disparities have become new centers of knowledge on regional resilience. Moreover, the pandemic has led to a visible shift in the research focus. Thus, after 2020, more attention has been paid to the structural and topological characteristics of regions that enable them to reorganize their resources more effectively in times of crisis. This study investigates the potential of the resilient development concept as a framework for gaining insights into the factors supporting regional adaptability.

2008-2013 年的全球经济危机导致了 "复原力 "概念的出现,其重点是社会经济系统在受到外部影响后在社会、经济和环境方面的恢复能力。COVID-19 大流行激发了学者们对地区恢复力作为可持续发展理论的新概念框架的兴趣。本文旨在研究大流行病对地区复原力研究的趋势和地理学的影响。我们分析了来自 Science Direct 的数据,并使用 VOSviewer 进行了聚类和文献计量网络分析。受大流行病影响最严重、地区社会经济差距最大的国家已成为地区复原力知识的新中心。此外,大流行病导致了研究重点的明显转移。因此,2020 年之后,人们更加关注地区的结构和拓扑特征,这些特征使地区能够在危机时期更有效地重组资源。本研究探讨了弹性发展概念作为一个框架的潜力,以深入了解支持地区适应性的因素。
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引用次数: 0
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