面对极端气候,必须实现基于自然的解决方案,而不仅仅是宣布

IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Erdkunde Pub Date : 2021-08-10 DOI:10.3112/erdkunde.2021.03.06
C. Beierkuhnlein
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引用次数: 5

摘要

气候变化造成的自然灾害的频率和强度都在增加。由于这不是一个线性趋势,而是由奇点和异常引起的,包括具有高度时间和空间不确定性的广泛气候和天气极端情况,因此很难制定有针对性的规避策略。然而,政府和大多数利益相关者大多采用过时的“一切照旧”方法来应对气候变化的影响,这些方法不适合应对当前挑战的复杂性。应对自然灾害的行动大多是在此类事件期间和之后采取的,通过付款和恢复来补偿损失。未来,需要积极主动的基于自然的解决方案,通过增强生物多样性的各个方面,从物种丰富度、结构粗糙度到生态系统的空间异质性,来缓解风险,避免严重破坏。这不会避免极端天气事件,但会减少日益出现的自然灾害造成的损害。然而,这一战略不可能突然实施。需要长期的空间概念。为此,应建立目前缺失的基于地理、地球科学、生态、气象和社会专业知识的治理结构。近年来,为所需解决方案奠定了良好的科学和知识基础,现在必须将其转化为行动。在这里,针对广泛的极端事件和社会领域编制了一系列建议,这些建议远未完成,但应激发急需的创造力和承诺。基于自然的解决方案不会提供完全的保护,也不可能是唯一的行动,但我们不能再依赖灾后补偿或仅仅是工程和建筑工程的安全幻想。生物多样性作为维持生态系统服务的保险的效率是众所周知的。实施基于自然的适应、应对和保护措施比传统的末端管道结构成本更低。它需要在公众广泛接受的基础上深入了解互动过程和跨学科合作。对这些解决方案的投资会有回报,不是明天,而是将来。这是预防灾害的最佳可持续和可行办法。
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Nature-based solutions must be realized - not just proclaimed - in face of climatic extremes
Natural hazards resulting from climate change are increasing in frequency and intensity. As this is not a linear trend but rather by singularities and anomalies including a broad spectrum of climatic and weather extremes with high temporal and spatial uncertainty, focused avoidance strategies are difficult to prepare. However, the effects of climate change are mostly addressed with outdated ‘business as usual’ approaches by governments and most stakeholders, which are unfit to tackle the complexity of current challenges. Coping action for natural hazards is mostly undertaken during and after such events compensating damage through payments and restoration. In the future, pro-active nature-based solutions are needed for risk mitigation and avoiding severe damage through enhancing all facets of biodiversity from species richness, structural roughness, to spatial heterogeneity of ecosystems. This will not avoid extreme weather events, but it will reduce the damage of increasingly appearing natural hazards. However, this strategy cannot be implemented all of a sudden. Long-term and spatial concepts are needed. For this purpose, currently missing governance structures based on geographical, geoscientific, ecological, meteorological, and societal expertise should be installed. In recent years, a good scientific and knowledge basis for the required solutions has been developed, which now must translate into action. Here, a series of suggestions is compiled for a broad spectrum of extreme events and societal fields, which is far from being complete but should stimulate critically needed creativity and commitment. Nature-based solutions will not deliver a complete protection and cannot be the only kind of action, but we can no longer rely on post-disaster compensation or on the safety illusion of mere engineering and construction works. The efficiency of biodiversity as an insurance for maintaining ecosystem services is well understood. The implementation of nature-based adaptation, coping, and protection measures is less expensive than traditional end-of-the-pipe constructions. It requires an in-depth understanding of interacting processes and trans-disciplinary cooperation based on a broad acceptance in the public. Investments into these solutions would pay off, not tomorrow, but in the future. It is the best sustainable and feasible approach for disaster prevention.
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来源期刊
Erdkunde
Erdkunde 地学-自然地理
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
7.10%
发文量
17
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Since foundation by Carl Troll in 1947, ''ERDKUNDE – Archive for Scientific Geography'' has established as a successful international journal of geography. ERDKUNDE publishes scientific articles covering the whole range of physical and human geography. The journal offers state of the art reports on recent trends and developments in specific fields of geography and comprehensive and critical reviews of new geographical publications. All manuscripts are subject to a peer-review procedure prior to publication. High quality cartography and regular large sized supplements are prominent features of ERDKUNDE, as well as standard coloured figures.
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